Contra Costa County COVID-19 data as of Wednesday Dec.23, 2020:
- Total cases (since March) – 36,313
- Total active confirmed cases – 6,378
- Recovered cases – 29,627
- Total tested – 767,205
- Deaths – 308
- Nobody under 30 years old has died – 144 deaths in nursing homes
- There are currently 43 active COVID-19 outbreaks in Contra Costa nursing homes
Contra Costa County COVID-19 Hospital Data:
- COVID-19 patients currently hospitalized – 237
- Occupied ICU beds – 136 (53 COVID patients)
- Available ICU beds – 32 (13.1%)
- Available ventilators – 197
PREVIOUS DAY NUMBERS SHOWN BELOW:
Contra Costa County COVID-19 data as of Tuesday Dec.22, 2020:
- Total cases (since March) – 35,788
- Total active confirmed cases – 6,455
- Recovered cases – 29,035
- Total tested – 760,484
- Deaths – 298
- Nobody under 30 years old has died – 142 deaths in nursing homes
- There are currently 39 active COVID-19 outbreaks in Contra Costa nursing homes (note: “Due to a transition between systems for tracking outbreaks at long-term care facilities, some of the outbreaks weren’t included in the numbers from 11/23 through 12/21. These numbers were corrected on December 22,” according to the Contra Costa Health Department.
Contra Costa County COVID-19 Hospital Data:
- COVID-19 patients currently hospitalized – 238
- Occupied ICU beds – 133 (57 COVID patients)
- Available ICU beds – 29 (12.2%)
- Available ventilators – 199
From the chart it is obvious anyone other sixty should be first in line for the vaccine.
I find it very suspicious that the total deaths raised by 10 since yesterday however the chart shows the last death occurred on 12/16. Can someone explain?
Deaths have to be certified (not sure if that’s the right word) before being reported. It takes a while. The public health officials have insights into these numbers closer to real time. It’s why they act when they do, often when the general public doesn’t see why.
Yeah, I have asked a couple of times and I keep getting we must ‘certify’ the death. It feels shady to record a death from a month ago as a COVID death ….Just feels off. It does not take that long to do an autopsy and they are not performing an autopsy on every death, so why does it take 2, 3, 4 weeks and more to certify a death? I can get behind 2 weeks … but more than that, repeatedly, yeah.
We might be starting to plateau. I hope so.
Based on the numbers of people traveling to visit relatives for Christmas, cases will surge again.
Did you all see the story about the prominent doctor from John Muir that the nazis fired for questioning the ‘lockdown’?
https://www.wnd.com/2020/12/4879933/?utm_source=Email&utm_medium=wnd-breaking&utm_campaign=breaking&utm_content=breaking&ats_es=%5B-MD5-%5D
Shady AF! He was fired for speaking out and using logic.
Boycott John Muir if you can, what azz hats.
Merry Christmas Claycord!
So what happened to the othere Doctors who SPOKE UP? This is such BS. Here’s their letter:
This letter was published last night by 3 well known ER doctors from John Muir Hospital in Walnut Creek, CA
Dr Farnitano and Contra Costa County supervisors,
We are writing to you with deep concern regarding more lockdown measures for our county. We feel the science is clear that more lockdowns lead to much more non covid morbidity and mortality as supported by the CDC.
We are confused as to why this is happening as we are often overcapacity in our hospitals and ICUs every winter and we have never done this previously. We also run our ICUs normally at a high rate of occupancy as this is most cost effective.
Here are the issues in a nutshell:
1. Excessive PCR testing is leading to numerous false positive results. The specificity of PCR testing is really unknown but I have seen many authorities claim it is no higher than the low 90% range because of the attempt to be 100% sensitive using cycle threshold standards of 40. (sensitivity is inversely related to specificity)
2. For the sake of illustration, I will assume a 97-98% specificity which is likely far too high. Back in March when the county could only perform 300-400 tests per day, a 98% specificity would only lead to 6-8 false positive tests. Now we have reached up to 8000 tests per day. With a 98% specificity, that would lead to 160 false positive cases a day in our county. With a population of 1.1 million that would put us at 14.5 positive cases per 100,000 population and we would find ourselves in the worst possible tier based solely on false positive tests!!! This is absolutely a fact of epidemiology/science.
3. Again we have normal ICU and hospital winter surges that happen every winter and we never had any county lockdowns. Our county figures on your website show essentially a stable ICU occupancy from July 1st to today. In addition on your website, we only have a minimal surge in hospitalized patients as compared to last year.
4. When you test like this for everyone that comes into your hospital, ‘hospital covid patient” numbers will rise simply because you are capturing more asymptomatic disease in patients who otherwise are visiting the hospital for other reasons.
5. Public policy is being based on these erroneous numbers and assumptions.
6. Public policy with shutdowns (various closures) leads to excessive non covid related deaths. Please see attached CDC article which shows clearly that these excessive deaths are most pronounced in the 25-44 year old age range with numerous weeks during this year that 40-50% excessive deaths are seen in this age group. When you measure in terms of life-years lost as compared to life-years lost with actual covid deaths, it is not even close. We are harming more people in our community who do not have nor are at risk of having significant covid disease with senseless closures of businesses and schools. This is data supported.
7. The CDC and pediatric societies across America have voiced their support of opening all schools. School age children are not significant vectors of the disease.
With this information above, can you answer the following questions:
1. how do you account for these high numbers of false positives with the county tiering system? Do you throw these numbers out so that only true positives are counted?
2. Why did you not intervene with any type of community closure in the past winters when our hospitals were at overcapacity? What is different now?
3. What data do you have that supports closures of businesses like gyms and outdoor dining while keeping other businesses open like walmart? What data do you have that supports that we stay indoors as opposed to outdoors? (all the science that we have reviewed supports a predominantly 99% indoor vehicle of transmission).
4. Why have you gone against the medical experts in not recommending the opening of our schools?
5. What about our county’s ICU figures caused you to trigger a closure? As you can see on Contra Costa County website, ICU occupancy has been stable between 75 and 80% since July 1st despite changing covid admissions. Please be specific here. When we run normally at 75% occupancy, why is 85% so terrible? We handle these surges every winter. It is expected.
We look forward to your reply.
Sincerely
Pete Mazolewski, MD, FACS, USAR
Brian Hopkins, MD,
Mike deBoisblanc, MD, FACS, USAR
I’m hoping all county hospitals are preparing their front grand entry halls/waiting rooms to have lines of beds in them. The worsening of the numbers of terribly sick patients is expected to start building in about 2 weeks from today (posting this on the 23rd).
@Antler…Fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice, shame on me. The third time you’re just preaching at the choir….blah, blah, blah.
We left Californicate for good on 16 Dec., and are now living happily in The Arizona Free State. We wish you all the best.