Contra Costa is now reporting 1,384 confirmed cases of coronavirus in the county, which is 9 more than yesterday.
1,140 people in Contra Costa County with COVID-19 have fully recovered.
There have been 37 coronavirus-related deaths in Contra Costa.
Currently, the county has 207 active cases of COVID-19.
Below is a city-by-city breakdown of coronavirus cases for Contra Costa County:
RELATED STORY FROM WEDNESDAY: 1,375 Confirmed Cases Of Coronavirus (222 Active Cases) In Contra Costa County – 22 More Than Yesterday (1,116 Recovered)
RELATED INFO FROM WEDNESDAY (cases by city):
Still at 37 so glad our county health officials take science into account…the curve is flattened…
You mean despite the county health officials who are not using data or science. Have you been out lately? it doesn’t look like many folks are sheltering in place. Just remove the order.
I have never stayed inside and come and go as needed. I stay safe and have had no issue anywhere, most certainly will continue and unfortunately now will need to give my business out of the county if I want those items…oh well
Unfortunately we are stuck with waiting every 2 weeks for the answer on the lifting the SIP.
San Luis, O bispo already got the barbershop just reopened. People were waging in line for one hour and, a half. Both of them customers and barbers have to wear mask. I will continue to skip the barber too much trouble with the guideline
My daily routine each day during SIP.
IN the morning exercise before breakfast and after breakfast do my projects afternoon go outside and lay on my hammock unless the weather to got outside
Evening
Watch TV and movie and, re-run sf giants baseball have and GSW basketball game!
I will be doing these routine everyday untill this is over
Sounds very fulfilling.
SF has announced their opening up: More restrictions will be lifted on June 1, when child care services, botanical gardens and outdoor museums can reopen under certain guidelines. On June 15, the city plans to enter Phase 2B, which will allow most indoor retail, outdoor dining and summer camps to reopen
Wearing a mask has become a matter of virtue signaling. They’re a political statement now.
Masks are a fashion statement. I try to color coordinate a mask to the outfit I’m wearing.
I encourage everyone to go to the County website and check out the charts.
The SIP is not required…
https://www.coronavirus.cchealth.org/indicators-dashboard
This has been the case for quite some time and why I now don’t listen to the so called experts…
Good info, but I don’t think it’s going to make a difference. I’m not sure there’s any set of numbers that would make some people compromise and see any different perspective on this. They’ve decided what they’re going to do regardless.
Stopped by big box hardware in Pittsburg on way home.
From number of people and vehicles this shelter in place thing looks to be over.
Hardware stores were never closed. They were deemed essential. Home Depot limits the number of people who go inside. Every Ace Hardware I’ve been to also limits the number of people who can be in the store at any given time.
The County is hell bent on smoking out asymptomatic cases, they insist on 2200 tests a day, and they’re getting 800, I don’t see the lifting of SIP for a long time, people I talk too are saying, I’m not sick no test, or give up after waiting hours to schedule … It will take a change in County Leadership for this to end, the 1st Candidate that says, enough is enough, gets my Vote, and in the mean time, find me in Bencia
I like the idea of smoking out asymptomatic cases, but they aren’t doing it yet – at least not in any intentional fashion, and they haven’t explained whether they even have a plan to get it done. They just say, “Come on in and get tested!” That’s not going to cut it. If you set it as a criterion for reopening, you need to actually take urgent steps to meet it.
The R0 value is greater than 1.0. Likely 1.1/1.2? The active case numbers keep increasing…
So does the number of tests.
Yes, that is what is so frightening about reopening and most people on here don’t get it. What this means is if we reopen and the number of cases spike – we cannot reduce the number later because even under SIP the number remains higher or close to 1. So if 10 cases spikes to 100 cases a day, then thereafter in two weeks we would have the same number of new cases as we have had total. Instead of 37 deaths total it could easily become 37 deaths every two weeks with the potential to be much much worse.
That small number of cases we are getting, while not significant for the population size, poses a huge threat if we reopen prematurely. The big question should be why hasn’t it gone down to zero new cases a day and have new cases measured in weeks? Even without increases in testing if it wasn’t continuing to spread there would be no new cases because everyone social distancing would either be unexposed or recovered – but that isn’t what is happening. It is reasonable to want to figure out where the cracks in the system are now while the small number of cases should make that easier than after it spikes and is orders of magnitude worse.
@Xennial,
“Cracks in the system?” There are over a million people in this county, and people live in households, with other people. And a significant minority are still working out of their homes. And some are homeless. It would take a long series of miracles to get the cases down to zero.
“Re-opening” entirely is not even on the table. But this talk about re-opening “prematurely” really prompts a further question: what would *not* be premature? We can’t be shut down until a vaccine, so what would qualify as “not premature,” in your view?
Next question after that: is there a realistic pathway to getting to a “safe” re-opening, in your view? If not, then what are we doing right now?
@ Whome
Where are you getting your R0 values? BBC states that they are seeing 0.6-1.1. Germany is showing a 0.7 in late April, I cannot find anything newere that. Early on China reported 2.5-3.0, astronomical. The UK says their R0 value has climbed recently to 0.7. SF Chronicle report on May 15 that the entire Bay Area has a R0 value of under 1, though they did not specify the source or actual number.
You must keep in mind that the R0 value will vary from location to location, but we should not be guessing at the value. From the simple data sets I stated above, the R0 value is not likely over 1 anymore.
Keep in mind that the annual flu is 1.3.
@ Xennial
I had to read your statement a few times …. Cases will spike. They will for multiple reasons. The primary reason for the ‘spike’ is the increased testing. More tests, more results, more cases. As for you math of spiking to 100 cases, and the 37 deaths every two weeks, not following that at all.
We will not see zero. If that is what you are waiting for, you might want to evacuate to your doomsday bunker, cause you will need to wait that long to get zero cases.
@Parent Here is the math. Currently we are averaging about 10 new cases a day and above it lists total cases of 1,384. As an example, if cases spiked to 100 new cases a day, it would take only 14 days to meet our current listed total of 1,384 total cases. Matching the total 1384 cases is 37 deaths, so a rough estimate is we would also have about 37 deaths every 14 days as well.
I agree cases will spike but we need to be able to manage these cases when they do. I don’t know how we will do that if we can’t even manage the cases now.
By manage the cases I mean get the R much less than 1. In my opinion at least R<0.7 is necessary. We don't need to have the cases down to zero but we do need systems in place capable of managing these cases to avoid huge spikes that cannot subsequently be managed.
@Led, the biggest criteria for a safe pathway to reopening is hiring and training a sufficient number of contact tracers (state recommends 15 per 100,000 people); available testing capacity to regularly test those most at risk of spreading the virus (i.e. nursing home staff, certain essential workers), and healthcare workers; and having sufficient stockpiles of PPE to deal with surges if/when they occur. From what I have heard we are behind on hiring contact tracers; we now have sufficient testing capacity; and availability of PPE for hospitals seems to vary based on location (CCC says 6/8 hospitals have sufficient supplies). The CCC dashboard on indicators has good information in this regard including charts on our progress: https://www.coronavirus.cchealth.org/indicators-dashboard
@parent –
I mistakenly failed to state that was conditional – if you assume the active case numbers are accurate and representative of the population.
The R0 calc is extremely complex, I just made a simple spread sheet. However, the fact is the number of new daily cases is increasing. If all of the numbers are correct, and the R0 was <1.0, the number of new cases would be declining.
An argument could be made we are testing more, hence we are discovering more asymptomatic cases in the community.
Interesting times…
@whome – Today I discovered the active case numbers are worthless.
For the past few weeks the county has been publishing a “total recovered” number. Others were using that to compute active cases using total_cases minus (recovered plus deaths). However, the county is now disclosing that their “recovered cases” number is “Total cases where the date of symptom onset or test date was over 14 days ago. Excludes deceased and hospitalized.”
It gets worse. I recently learned that county firefighters are not routinely screened for COVID-19. They only get tested if they are symptomatic. If that’s the case for all or most classes of essential safety workers then it’s driving the percent of positive cases up.
Either of those throws attempts to compute R0 out the window.
Lassen County went back to curbside and delivery only. A Lassen County resident left county lines and caught Covid, came back and started spreading it. They had opened up on May 11, because they had no cases. Now they have to take one step back while they do contact tracing and increase their testing. For at least the next week, there will be no in-store shopping or inside dining, no hair cuts, and no inside church services
Humboldt County is being more cautious as they had a spike in cases and 2 deaths.Their plans to move forward towards the next phase of reopening have been put on hold.
If the standard of shutting down is based on a single case, we will NEVER reopen.
What happened to flattening the curve?
@ Mitch
Flattening the curve is what they started with … to get us to feel okay with this. They knew all along it was not about flattening the curve, that is was more than that. That is why our government abolished the 60 day limit for the state of emergency declaration in the first couple of days. Why else would they abolish the time limit so early into the ’emergency’? They had plans …
San Francisco will allow barber shops to open July 13. Looks like we have even a long wait .
as of 05/28:
1,384 confirmed cases (CCC) with 37 deaths = 2.67% death rate.
That’s the death rate for confirmed cases. That’s not the death rate for all cases of Covid. Given that a high percentage of cases are asymptomatic, and not everyone who got sick even got tested, that’s not an actual death rate for Covid. The CDC, last I saw, puts the death rate at around. .4%. And a very high number of those are very elderly people with co morbidities.
Masks reduce transmission of COVID by 75%
But there will be countless, clueless, selfish, idiot a-holes that will not wear masks.They will call themselves patriots, claim it’s a free country, or are just sociopaths, that will prove they are indeed clueless, selfish, idiot a-holes.
https://www.foxnews.com/health/wearing-face-mask-reduce-coronavirus-transmission-75-percent-study-shows