Contra Costa is now reporting 648 confirmed cases of coronavirus in the county, which is 17 more than yesterday.
The county has also confirmed there have now been 19 coronavirus-related deaths in Contra Costa.
Below is a city-by-city breakdown of coronavirus cases for Contra Costa County:
RELATED STORY FROM THURSDAY: DAILY UPDATE: 631 Confirmed Cases Of Coronavirus In Contra Costa County – 16 More Than Yesterday – 2 More Deaths
CoCoCo Health Services has an interesting hospital dashboard (https://www.coronavirus.cchealth.org/hospital-dashboard) that is a prime example of how statistics can mislead. Even if it’s unintentional, reporting values as percentages can have the effect of misrepresenting what’s really happening. Percentages are fractions. So, if you increase the denominator (bottom number) while holding the numerator (top number) constant, the percentage decreases. For example, if the supply of ICU beds or ventilators increases, but the number of people using them does not change, it gives the impression that the situation is improving, because utilization rates are decreasing. I realize that high utilization rates are what give healthcare providers sleepless nights, but counts of occupied ICU beds or patients on ventilators are more useful for those of us watching trends.
@Superstitious – Hover over a data point on the graphs. It will show you the numbers. For example, on 4/11/2020 57 of 260 ventilators were in use. I agree though that the percentage utilization graph can be misleading unless it’s understood that it’s only for percentage utilization.
The ICU graph also supports the hover thing. Again it’s not a useful graph other than from an overview of the general capacity, That also don’t say how many ICU beds are used by COVID-19 patients. It also does not say how many of those beds are in negative pressure rooms designed to handle patients with very contagious and dangerous diseases such as COVID-19. Most hospitals only have a couple of negative pressure rooms each with one bed.
Danville has dropped to 21!!! Again. They were at 23 last I checked. The number of cases has went down at least THREE times. Whoever is in charge of updating the spreadsheet needs to be replaced.
I believe if there is a death, they may no longer count as a living positive case. This sadly may mean that those decreasing numbers were because someone had passed away. I do not know this for sure but this would make sense to me.
Interesting article form SFGATE today.
https://www.sfgate.com/bayarea/article/Santa-Clara-antibody-test-coronavirus-results-case-15208216.php
A study was done in Santa Clara County that is suggesting that we are underreporting the total number of infections. It further states that if we are, then the true (article word, not mine) mortality rate is between 0.12 and 0.20% The annual flu death rate is about 0.1%.
San Mateo county public health is saying the same thing as Santa Clara.
So it saying what many people have suspected, the infection rate is HIGH, but it is confirming what others (doctors, lay people) have said when they state that mortality rate is not that high.
So, any of you online ‘medical experts’ that like to respond on claycord care to read this article and give your opinion? I am curious …
@ Mike
This is good news for us living under this tyrant.
Yes, it is contagious. The Ro (Reproduction Number) for COVID-19 is thought to about 2. Seasonal Influenza is between 1.4-1.6. Measles is 12-14, the common cold is close to 3.
So even if you want to go with the high end RO for COVID-19/SARS2, it is 3.5. The common cold is almost as contagious … yes, it would not kill you-more than likely unless, you had a compromised immune system or you were a member of the vulnerable population.
All my numbers come from the CDC site.
You think that we would have over a thousand deaths in San Mateo if we quit today, well I disagree based on the scientific data that is coming out.
The problem is they are almost listing every death as CoVid if the patient is positive but actually dies from another underlying health condition.
I also am seeing people online who have been told they have covid without actually being tested. These are not happy people.
Interesting results, to be interpreted with some skepticism – the test used has some serious sensitivity issues, as do the methods of data analysis (other epidemiologists would derive very different prevalence calculations) and subject recruitment. For the record, the paper has not been published yet, meaning it has not gone through peer review yet. That said, it’s a start. Many more similar studies need to be conducted before any conclusions can be drawn.
So other states are easing up on restrictions when will Galvin start doing this looks like now there is a demand to cover the face maybe it is time to move
Watch South Dakota who’s republican governor refused to issue a shelter in place order.
The largest pork producer in the US is shut down in South Dakota as Covid 19 runs rampant. One of the 3 hot spots in the US. No pork fo you.
Have you ever considered the metric of population density, as in people per square mile?
What are ages of people who died, and what pre-conditions?
Right they need to let us know the ages and such be transparent this is California so don’t count on it!
Santa Clara County has a more complete dashboard.
https://www.sccgov.org/sites/covid19/Pages/dashboard.aspx
At least in that county, two-thirds of deaths are in people over 70. Of course, a third of people who died were under 71, so don’t feel like you’re completely safe.
America
They do not list pre-conditions. Age 41-60 in Contra Costa is the highest.
https://www.coronavirus.cchealth.org/dashboard
Are people still hoarding grocery store items or are there just less deliveries now? At Safeway the other day there was hardly any produce and most shelves picked clean. It seems like the 1 item per person rule is not effective. Anyone else still experiencing a lack of store goods?
@Maya Piñon, there is a COVID-19 outbreak at the Safeway distribution center in Tracy. One dead and 51 tested positive. That’s why Safeway is having supply issues in the Bay Area. Produce is particularly hard hit.
@parentt….. Tyranny? This is not even close to Tyranny! I had relatives in East Germany and visited them in 1975. That’s TYRANNY.
There is no incentive for our Governor to do anything but take the most conservative approach to lifting restrictions. If things get better: He was being cautious. If things get worse: He’s a visionary!
Further, the longer the restrictions continue, the more time he has to think up goofy stuff and implement it under the guise of the Coronavirus.
The sky’s the limit!