Contra Costa is now reporting 511 confirmed cases of coronavirus in the county, which is 27 more than yesterday.
The county has also confirmed there have been nine coronavirus-related deaths in Contra Costa.
Below is a city-by-city breakdown of coronavirus cases for Contra Costa County:
57 comments
27 is slightly below the average for the last 10 days which is 30.
Looks like no surge, and we are plateauing at numbers small enough to control through aggressive testing, contact tracing, and individual (rather than large scale) quarantines.
so, with an estimated population of CCC of 170,000 we have a .005% rate of death. Waiting for the surge. 3 weeks ago was to be THIS week. Last weekend they said next week. Yesterday they said Late April Early May. So, you just know “They” are just itching to make it June 1st Lock down/Shut up Shelter in place for .005%
Where’s the down vote button?
The death rate is 9/511 = 1.76% of known cases. It may be less if there are more cases undiagnosed. California has been recognized in having a lower number of cases and deaths due to the proactive measures taken by the citizens at the direction of the political leaders. I, for one, am happy that we have had fewer deaths than we would have had without the measures taken. When we create ways to prevent this disease, there will be a recovery.
@ Clyde…. perhaps you do not HAVE TO WORK to eat or pay bills. Like a “Retired” shut in??
The curve flattening is working because we have a Governor who took this virus seriously…. as opposed to the idiots that were elected in Georgia, Alabama, and Florida. Perhaps you’d like to move there?
Hospitalizations are only at 2,825 in California with another 2,803 suspected cases, only rising by 1 to 4% per day. Remarkably, that’s roughly the same slow and steady rate of increase that Gov. Cuomo in NY is now touting in New York as their plateau.
Except so far, CALIFORNIA has been ALL PLATEAU.
In fact, on Wednesday the number of Covid-19 patients requiring intensive care actually dropped by 1.9% in California.
@ Michael
Unfortunately the death rate is not accurate period. If you have CHF and diabetes, then die while being positive, you are counted as a SARS2 death. If you drink, drive and die while positive, you are a SARS2 death. The drinking, driving and your stupidity caused your death … but you are counted as SARS2. These numbers are so inflated and inaccurate, we as civilians will never know the accurate rates.
Maybe, just MAYBE the actions we have taken were appropriate, but we are NOWHERE near the experts projected rates even with us SIP.
Hopefully this IS the surge.
Gavin Newsom has done a good job
Donald Trump and his team have done a good job
The people of California have done a good job
Next big step is getting everyone back to work without the infection rate spiking up. Hopefully we’ll do as good a job at that as we’ve done with mitigating deaths so far.
Van Xeter – what is wrong with you? You can’t give positive affirmations to everyone. How are we going to pick one side and blame the other for everything else? Please re-think your positive, non-partisan ideology.
rings4me I think most of us have bills to pay, just because we want to be safe, does not mean we don’t have economic difficulties, but we would rather have money problems than being dead. I suspect we all have a little different situation. I have been furloughed since March 16. My company paid me 2 weeks pay, and my vacation money. I will file for unemployment this week. Fortunately I have other income that pretty much covers my fixed expenses, and I have savings, so I’m okay, but I have to be careful, of course there is not much to spend money on, unless you shop online.
The population of ccc is 1.1 million not 170,000…
According to google, population of Contra Costa Counts is 1.14 million– a bit more than 170,000, that rings4me posted
This is exactly what we have been hoping for. Good work everyone. Keep the plateau. It’s not over yet so when you are released please continue safe distancing and wash your hands.
The irony is that when we don’t have deaths or serious illness then people will be mad because it was done for “nothing.”
Thank you!
The irony is one argument will be that the threat was overblown, and the other argument will be that measures put in place by decree reduced the deaths and serious illnesses. There won’t be provable data for either.
Stanford’s assessment is right on, we’ve been building immunity to this thing since at least November. The state SIP orders have served their purpose, but its time to roll back. Physical seperation and PPE use should still be practiced.
Target May 1st. New month, new California.
Please point us to “Stanford’s assessment”.
There have been serious issues raised with that reporting (which is why the article is no longer visible on sfgate). It was not a study by any team in Stanford’s medical dept., but one guy (a military historian) at the Hoover Institute at Stanford, talking out of his ass on Rush Limbaugh’s show.
I think it is reasonable to ask whether some circulation of the virus happened earlier in CA than has been recognized. But yeah, that article talked about a team from Stanford doing serology testing and then also quoted Hanson as if he were connected with that. He’s a classicist and political commentator. He has some good questions but no expertise on this at all. We already know that in February only a tiny percentage of swabs for people with respiratory illness in Santa Clara county were Covid-19 positive: they batch tested these after the fact. So I don’t think there’s much chance we are anywhere close to herd immunity. I would like to be pleasantly surprised and learn otherwise! Soon we’ll have some serology results and people won’t need to speculate.
Agreed and it’s way too early to speculate, particularly by a guy who has no understanding of virology, immunology or epidemiology.
There is some really troubling news out of Korea where they seem to have identified up to 91 patients by now who allegedly had cleared the infection earlier and are newly infected again. Again, too early to know what this means. It could be that they had false results earlier, maybe false positives, so they were actually never infected, or false negative so they actually had never cleared the infection.
But it also could mean that the virus can stay dormant inside a host until reactivation. Or, that multiple infections are possible because the immunity is not protective enough or lasts only a very short time. Of course we also don’t know whether the disease on re-infection maybe milder compared to primary infection.
Here’s a cool chart that is much more telling than the numbers in this post:
https://covid-19.direct/county/CA/Contra%20Costa?graph=cases
I love a good line graph, but I don’t see the explanation or scale identifying what each of the three different colored lines stand for. Maybe right in front of me though. Anyway, thank you.
I think the numbers could be lower if EVERYONE follows the guidelines, but unfortunately not.
I went to a store and a bank the other day, some people were not respecting “ social distancing” except for the marked area around registers or where people were lined up.
I saw plenty of people without masks talking to other customers or store clerks within two feet to each other.
One lady without a mask came close and started talking to me, I told her “ Please do not talk to me this close.”
I did not want to be rude, but I really had to say it to protect myself and family…
It is not that hard to follow guidelines, if you have no mask on , do not talk to strangers too close.
Quit being a Milly
The mask is for you not them.
You could always just start backing slowly away.
This was close to a month ago when we were advised to be 3 or 4 feet from others out and about I saw a young man (I think) who was mostly covered in multiple layers of clothing from head to toe and heavily masked. He was obviously keeping his distance (about 10′) from everyone in the line to enter the TJ’s Lafayette store. He was so far away from the last person I asked if he was in the line, he didn’t say anything but motioned for me to go ahead of him. He kept waving everyone ahead until I was in the store. I don’t know if he managed to get in, I forgot to check if he was still outside when I left. Poor chap.
It’s a intentionally spread weapon by China. It is an act of war.
Right.
An uncontrollable virus PROVEN genetically to have come from natural organisms (animals) and not synthetically produced in a Lab, is being intentionally spread.
This is right up there with another Claycord poster named “Anon” who was claiming that the cellular rollout of 5G is what cause the coronavirus.
Hands down, that is the dumbest post of the week. And you had some stiff competition. Well done sir or ma’am! 🥇
I agree. If we don’t get careful they will come up with a worse one.
This is the third pandemic coming out of China in the last few years. You can sit there and poopoo the idea they are doing this by accident or on purpose but something is wrong with that country. Everytime the next virus is worse. How many are you willing to see die before something is done. Glad you have so much hope in the communist Chinese government. Keep buying their junk they love you. Ask how they feel in Taiwan and Singapore. Liberals never learn.
It might be that some people don’t see China as an enemy to be slain, but an adversary to challenge and be challenged by. But I do agree we rely on them far, far too much for too many important things. That’s on us. It will take decades to disentangle at this point though.
I could list all of the ways China is taking advantage of every country in the world. I don’t look at them as a country to be slain but as a country that lies and cheats that should not be dealt with. Because the world wants things at a cheap price they took the advantage and then carried it to the extreme. Unfortunately it is really too late to do anything about it. Just hope the next virus doesn’t wipe out civilization as we know it.
Ricardoh, what makes you think it is liberals to blame for our dealings with China? Sounds more like the capitalists doing business there you should be complaining about — people like Ivanka Trump who has received dozens of trademarks to do business in and with China since her father became president.
I anticipate a spike up in about two weeks, given all the chatter about crowds of people using hiking trails, and gathering for Easter this weekend.
Ricardo, I don’t think the whether the virus came from a lab or not, is a left right issue. I think it is possible that it did come from a lab, but I have no proof. I think it is possible these viruses from certain part of China has to do with the some of their customs, how the eat and slaughter certain animals. However, if I don’t think the virus came from a lab that does not mean I trust the Chinese government, nor am I by any stretched a fan of the communist government or any fascistic regime, nor do I think most liberals are supportive of their government. As for who buys the Chinese made items, I can tell working retail for many years and dealing with all kinds of customers, everyone loves a deal, I don’t think that is divided by political leanings. I use to work in handbags, Coach handbags are very popular, and they are very nice bags, well made, designed in the US, but made in China. Funny thing is we had many Chinese tourist who would buy them here. By the way all the Chinese tourist or business men I dealt with were extremely nice and a pleasure to do business with. I hope someday China will be a free society.
Besides the good news that nationwide there are practically empty hospitals (except not so good for the thousands nurses/staff being laid off), further confirming the profound errors in the absurd models (esp IHME), we now have the abstract released by the study directed by Didier Raoult, one of the world’s leading experts in communicable diseases. The study had a cohort of 1061 patients who were treated for at least 3 days with HCQ-AZ combo, here were the key findings:
– No cardiac toxicity
– positive clinical outcome and virological cure obtained in 973 patients (91.7%) within 10 days
– poor outcome observed in 46 (4.3%)…10 transferred to ICU, 5 (0.47%) of whom died (age 74-95)…31 required 10+ days hospitalization.
An effective, safe, cheap drug that’s been around and use by many millions of people worldwide for 60+ years…”oH buT THe SiDe EfFecTS”…well, EVERY drug has potential side effects, go ahead and read that label on your bottle of acetaminophen or ibuprofen. And hey, know what else has side effects that puts many people on death’s doorstep and sometimes even kills them, yet millions of people do it every day to try to LIVE? It’s called “chemotherapy”.
Another ray of hope…per NEJM, a study of compassionate use remdesivir for 58 people with severe covid-19, clinical improvement achieved in 68%, including 17/30 (57%) who began treatment while already on a ventilator and were able to be extubated.
The Carlson School of Management at the Univ. of Minnesota started tracking the number of hospitalizations from the 37 state departments of health that are reporting this info so far.
This info is very valuable because hospitalization typically occurs a week or so after infection, its less of a lagging indicator than the death count, which trails by 2 to 2.5 weeks and more directly tie to the trajectory of the epidemic than the testing dependent case count.
It’s also a measure of how close we are to exceeding the capacity of our hospital system. Remember, Italy is #2 in the world in hospital beds per capita. The U.S. is 18th at best.
https://carlsonschool.umn.edu/mili-misrc-covid19-tracking-project
Smoking tobacco causes 480,000 deaths each year in the USA alone.
https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/data_statistics/fact_sheets/fast_facts/index.htm#diseases
COVID-19 has so far caused about 18K deaths in the USA. It may cause 60K-100K. Maybe less.
If we want to create more capacity in the health care system, perhaps we should ban tobacco. Would it be harder than what we are doing right now?
Look at the bright side jp5air, we’ve gone thirty days with no school shootings.
@parent,
Youre reading comprehension is very poor.
Nowhere did I talk about the death rate in my post above which talked about the HOSPITALIZATION RATE, which is currently at 2,825.
ROFL
Funny you telling Parent her reading comprehension is poor.
Parent was responding to Michael Langley April 10, 2020 at 1:30 PM when he posted “The death rate is 9/511 = 1.76% of known cases….” Thus Parent’s use of “Michael” and not “Mike” in her reply.
LOL
Thanks for pointing that out-I did misread that probably because I have been arguing the death rate with folks for awhile The hospitalization rate is different than the death rate. My mistake. … but if you don’t mind, let me ask you this question
If the infection rate has been proven wrong already and the death rate has been been proven wrong already, why would you believe that the hospitalization rate is honest? If it was accurate, wouldn’t our hospitals already be overrun?
My point, reconfigured after you pointed out my mistake, is if 2 out the 3 known data sources are wrong, why would we assume the third is being accurately presented to us?
@ Carnac
Funny, I just read that again and assumed Mike Wagner was correct. I think I may have mixed the two of them up! Oops! O well … Life goes on!
Two things:
First, next flu season, can we have a daily update chart for the seasonal flu in Contra Costa County? Just like this one? It would be nice to see the comparison.
Second, if any parent out there is as ticked off as I am about the MDUSD making the call so early to close school for the remainder of the year, send an email to boardcomments@mdusd.org and let them know how you feel. The board is meeting on Monday, and they claim that the board president will read all comments and submit them into the record.
@Well,
Uh, while MDUSD is generally TERRIBLE, and this hysteria-induced, economy-wrecking shutdown was driven by ridiculously bad doomsday models meant to instill panic, are you seriously blaming MDUSD “leadership”? Robert Martinez had already endured screeches of “SAVE THE CHILDREN!!!” for about a week, and then got further dragged when on the evening of Thursday Mar 12th he posted his letter stating that for now the schools would remain open. Well all the Mommy Karens didn’t like that and abused this guy mercilessly, literally telling him he was going to kill kids and would have blood on his hands. So natch first thing Friday morning he reversed himself and closed the schools….which would’ve been done by the state anyway. So now really, what was the guy supposed to do?
@Pete V
Hey man, relax. In reading your posts from today and previously, we are on the same page about this Wuhan Flu. I simply want other parents who might feel similarly as I do to have their voices heard. I understand the initial hysteria from the SAVE OUR CHILDREN crowd fueled mostly from the media and the unknown, but now that the picture is beginning to clear, I would like the MDUSD to at least consider the possibility of reopening….even if just for a couple of weeks. I don’t agree with the decision to call it a day this early. They should have taken a week by week evaluation in this fluid situation.
Personally, my kids are doing fine but they want to go back to school. I know some other families whose kids aren’t doing very well without the social interaction they get from attending school. I am afraid that the long term affects of keeping them (and us for that matter) penned up for too much longer will be harmful mentally. That’s just how I feel.
You all don’t get this virus thing. I have it on good authority that this is all a distraction for what’s really going on. You see, Venus has had critical climate change in the last few years and the Venusians have landed and are taking over the world. They are populating Earth during this “Shelter in place” and getting rid of the weak at the same time. Evidently nobody has watched any Sci-Fi movies from the 50s. Damn Aliens!!!!
Doggone, I knew it!
So nytemuvr, tell me about these Venus women. 😎
She’s got it
Yeah baby, she’s got it
I have to believe this is tongue in cheek. Good imagination, have you thought of writing a sci-fi novel?
Nice pull Cowellian! https://youtu.be/aPEhQugz-Ew
@Atticus Thraxx…. The Venusians are shape-shifters, the females appear to Earthmen like Rachel Welch in “One Million BC” and try to mate with Earthmen. While mating they shift back to their original state of a very large praying mantis, bite your head off and consume your live body. My recommendation is make it fast and then finish first, then beat feat like Forest Gump, like with Earth women.
BTW….Shocking Blue singer was Dutch born Mariska Veres, she passed away in 2006 from cancer at 59.
That sounds like a lot of work nytemvr. II’ll just wait and see if maybe Mars women are more laid back and chill on the whole chewing my head off thing.
Mariska Veres also was the daughter of the renowned Lajos Veres, who was a Romani violinist/orchesta leader as was his renowned father.
I see the rise of deadly viruses co-incident with the introduction of disinfectant wipes and anti-bacterial liquid soap which kill good bacteria as well as bad.
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