This is the new COVID-19 daily update on Claycord.com:
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- 611 active cases of COVID-19 in Contra Costa County.
- 11 new cases of COVID-19 in Contra Costa County since yesterday.
- 460 tests were conducted in Contra Costa County since yesterday.
- 0 deaths since yesterday.
- Only 1 person under the age of 50 (they were in the 31-40 age group) has died from COVID-19 in Contra Costa County.
- 50 of the 73 deaths were in long-term care facilities.
- There are currently 7 outbreaks of COVID-19 at Contra Costa County long-term care facilities.
PRIOR DAY CITY TOTALS:
The population in Contra Costa County is 1.1-million.
If you have a parent in a long care facility and they are still alive it may be a good idea to take them home or put them in a hotel room. Why aren’t these people protected?
Nursing homes said this from the get go. Take your elderly, infirm family member home and protect them. Want to know how many people actually did this? Close to none. I work at a 120 bed rehab facility with some long term care for folks waiting on very difficult placements. Because the cost is covered by the government, NONE of the family took their family members home. Even with counselled that it could be very dangerous for their “loved one.” These family don’t care. They are happy to spend their relative’s pension while the government pays for their care.
@ Oh, please – You don’t know anything about people’s circumstances. Nothing. So stop spouting your ugly hatred. I have my MIL in assisted living and that place is taking every precaution to keep the virus out. Also, we are not set up to take her into our home, she has needs that we can not provide for and she’s better off in her place.
Also, she’s not worried about contracting the disease. She’s more worried about living long enough to experience complete blindness and deafness. Yep, that’s what she’s afraid of. Having to live like that.
So just shut up your trap and stop talking about stuff you don’t know anything about. Accusing families to steal from their relatives. REALLY???? What proof do you have???
A visiting nurse in your home might be helpful if you can’t take care of your MIL yourself. Know you don’t want to be bothered, but it might be for her own good that she could live out her days in an actual home with her family.
Oh Please and Chuckie’s Wife: I’ve had first hand experience with both of those issues, relatives stealing from aging parents (the ATM statement looked like a drug dealer’s with all of the withdrawals) and how incredibly difficult and expensive it is to set up a hospital room in your own house, but since both of you seem to want to yell at each other, I will just sit back with the popcorn and enjoy it.
@ohplease So you’re saying you know every single one of those patients families circumstances? I don’t think you do. I certainly wouldn’t tell anyone my personal business to a worker at a facility. It’s certainly not any of your damn business. And to say families are spending their pension! Wow, you must have access to these patients banking accounts to come up with that. Maybe YOU’RE the one stealing their money..
@ Gittiup and To Do List:
Like I said to Oh Please, you do not know everyone’s circumstances. To simply assume that I don’t want to be bothered is insulting and thoughtless. And no, I’m not going to explain my situation here.
As for relatives stealing from elderly family members – yep, I do know that happens. My outrage at Oh Please is for the generalization. Not EVERYONE doesn’t care about their relative and not EVERYONE spends their pension. Not EVERYONE steals. That’s like me saying Oh Please is a horrid nurse like all nurses in all Nursing Homes. And then proceeding to accusing Oh Please of stealing from patients. Not justified, and an unjust generalization based on nothing.
I have to agree with Giddyup.
Nursing homes are the demise of your loved ones, neglect, abuse and theft are rampant in them, especially in dementia/ alzheimer’s patients.
Trust no caregiver without careful monitoring.
Check the lawsuits of the nursing homes before leaving your loved one.
Most everyone able to meet their relatives needs at home would have them living there.
Lol. I know ALL my patients’ and their circumstances. Their families can not be bothered. It has nothing to do about not being able to take care of them. They dumped them and that is that. Sounds like you want someone to yell at to feel better about yourself? By all means, you do you. Most of my patients want to go home, but their families will not allow it. Sounds like yours wants to stay. This is also different. And, “to do.” I never had an argument with this angry person. I have no idea what you are blathering on about?
@Oh, Please – I’m angry because you are generalizing. With your generalization your are lumping me (who you don’t even know) in with everyone else. I take exception to that. You have no idea of other peoples’ situations and why they are not taking their family member to live with them. Heck, their family member might not even want to live with them. In our case, my MIL is quite happy where she is at.
You may “know” the situation from your patient’s perspective, but that is only half the picture. So before judging so harshly, think about what the other side might look like.
Never said anything about YOUR circumstances. Perhaps you are reading too much into it?
Hospital count – the real key performance indicator – is up 3 DOD to 42. Presume these are ICU beds, don’t know for sure. Does anyone know how many ICU beds we have in the County? THAT is what we should be tracking. It’s why we sheltered: flatten the curve and prevent overloading the healthcare system. Thanks to someone who knows.
This was from Claycord’s most recent post;
Currently, the county has 611 active cases of COVID-19, and 42 hospitalizations. 108 out of 255 ICU beds are currently occupied in the county (not all COVID-19-related). 24 out of 279 ventilators in the county are in use (not all COVID-19 related).
@Freedom Loving Dad~Contra Costa County has 132 available ICU beds AS OF 6/26. Check out the new models available by the State of California…
https://public.tableau.com/views/COVID-19HospitalsDashboard/Hospitals?:embed=y&:showVizHome=no
What those numbers are not saying, is in CC county, just under 4% of those tested are positive, VS 5.3% for the entire state-That is a win!
A friend of mine stubbed his big toe and the toe became very painful.
After following some of the usual home remedy options available he decided the pain was bad enough to go the ER.
Good thing he did as the toe has swollen so large that he couldn’t wear a shoe.
The ER Dr. examined his toe, took some x-rays and came to a devastating conclusion.
The Dr. told my friend that the toe itself would heal but in the meantime, the toenail had died.
A patient with the coronavirus had walked by the examination room while my friend was being examined.
It was then determined that the dead toenail died of coronavirus related health concerns.
The Contra Costa County Health Department added one more person to their mortality list.
Are these health care facilities still accepting covid-19 patients? Why are Covid deaths still occurring in these facilities with all the restrictions? Either they aren’t following guidelines or they are accepting covid-19 patients from the outside because the facilities get money for each Covid patient they take in.
These facilities are simply not set up, nor the staff trained or numerous enough, to maintain the sterile conditions necessary to defeat the transmission of a contagious virus. If it takes hold in doctors and nurses practicing in supposedly “sterile” hospital settings, you can guess what happens elsewhere.
2,688 cases in CCC with 73 dead = 2.72% death rate.
Once again, you use the Case Fatality Rate, and not the Crude Mortality Rate. Case Fatality Rate gives you a higher percentage whereas the Crude Mortality Rate uses the TOTAL POPULATION.
The crude mortality rate – sometimes called the crude death rate – measures the probability that any individual in the population will die from the disease; not just those who are infected, or are confirmed as being infected. It’s calculated by dividing the number of deaths from the disease by the total population. For instance, if there were 10 deaths in a population of 1,000, the crude mortality rate would be [10 / 1,000], or 1%, even if only 100 people had been diagnosed with the disease.
So, instead of using the CFR to calculate (the media favorite to instill fear), the CMR is more accurate = CCC population 1.1M (denominator) and 73 deaths (numerator) = % = 73 x 100 / 1100000 = 0.0066363636363636%. Big difference isn’t it?
Dang Noj … way to bust the Grim Reaper’s groove.
Noj, It depends on what you are trying to identify
The crude mortality rate is a snapshot. Projecting it forward as it if communicates the risk in the future is like judging fire risk at zero on a hot windy day in August, because zero acres have burned thus far. You can do that with a disease that is in a stable prevalence in the population, not in a new pandemic that has the potential to explode through the population.
Better than both is the IFR, the percentage of all those infected who die from the disease. Most studies put it between .5 and 1 percent. CDC lists a bit lower than that, though they don’t explain how they got that. Anyway, it’s more like one out of every hundred, or two hundred, or three hundred who get infected will die. But of course it varies quite dramatically by age.
11 cases that a huge drop
Probably just means some of the data doesn’t get processed on the weekend. Gotta look at the seven day rolling average.
This was revised from 11 to 44 in today’s release of data. I believe the testing labs sometimes get backlogged and are slow to get their numbers out. The county knew how many tests were performed but did not yet know the results by the time they released the numbers.
As Led noted, using the seven day rolling average is better. On https://www.coronavirus.cchealth.org/dashboard there is a bar chart for New Cases Reported by Day that has a line for the seven day rolling average. Also, the bars for previous days get adjusted as older test results and other data gets into the system. That’s where you can see that yesterday’s number is now 44 and not the 11 was initially reported for 6/26/2020.
OK folks, there are good nursing homes and assisted care facilities, and then there are some really bad ones. There are consultants who can help you find the best one for your family member. These facilities require all residents (and I assume employees) to get a flu shot each year, as well as an evaluation of their cognitive and physical abilities.
Colds and other ailments travel through these places easily. By the time folks hit 80 their immune system is compromised even if they don’t have other underlying conditions. I suspect that no matter how much care a facility takes, coronavirus is going to get in.
Now, if the state is paying places extra to take people infected with the virus like New York and New Jersey did, then “a Pox on both their houses”, and that’s a quote.
wor to the wise……Never assume
Any congregate living arrangement is going to produce a higher percentage rate of infection than an isolated family living arrangement practicing SIP, particularly when known infected patients are transferred to the congregate living facility for treatment. Not only were the congregate living at higher risk to begin with, infected patients were introduced into the facilities by public health decisions that were completely irresponsible, reprehensible, in fact.
Here’s two good sites: the first allows you to see the CCC assisted living AND the staff who have cases (at the bottom); the second is CCC alone:
https://www.latimes.com/projects/california-coronavirus-cases-tracking-outbreak/
https://www.latimes.com/projects/california-coronavirus-cases-tracking-outbreak/contra-costa-county/
At times like these, ballroom dancing really takes a hit.
H1N1 was at 60 million infected and 12,500 deaths, if Covid spreads faster the numbers should sky rocker and they aren’t because this is all bs, a social experiment to control the sheep. The numbers are never enough to justify killing our economy. Hey Sheep, keep drinking the cool aid and they will keep extending the lock down. Our economy will never come back. They will take our rights, one right at a time.