Contra Costa is now reporting 71 confirmed cases of coronavirus in the county, which is 20 more since Saturday.
One person (a Contra Costa man in his 70s with underlying health conditions who recently traveled outside the country) has died from the coronavirus in the county, according to the health department.
I wonder how many a day they’re testing here in Contra Costa?
I’d venture to guess 15-40.
See my other post…
We are 5 days behind Italy.
The U.S. had 32,000 cases yesterday as of 4 pm. Italy had about that on March 17th. They are now over 50,000 cases. with 3,000 in ICU. They are the #2 healthcare system in the world with more beds per capital than we do in regards to hospitals.
The number of infections in the U.S. are going to go through the roof this week. Our U.S. Surgeon General knows this, and that’s why he appeared on the TODAY Show this morning warning people who aren’t taking this threat seriously enough.
Part of that is due to increased (availability) testing.
Lots of people were sick one, even two weeks ago, but couldn’t get tested.
Was just visiting a distant friends Facebook page, there was a post from one of her friends who is in, or was, in Bergamo Italy, what she is describing is chilling, we need to take this seriously or we will be in the same position. It was a rather long post, so can’t repeat all it. In a nutshell, it is not only the elderly that gets it, and even so, we are not a society that thinks older people can be dispensed with, or are we. Since I’m older I hope not. The hospitals are overcrowded, and they are running out of supplies
This is wrong and is spreading bad information. We are many more days “behind” italy in terms of the outbreak and “curve”, we are a healthier (way less smokers), younger (on average 20 years younger than italy) and culturally (not as densley compact in households) different than italy. If you account for
Per Capita virus rate, we are doing much better and way slower that italy. Not to mention we have a lot more hospital capacity because we run for profit hospitals, rather than budget constrained government hospitals.
The quarantine will end when the fifteen days are up that the president asked for. Otherwise we will see something than is far worse than the virus!
As far as I’m concerned death is worse than anything. I might be over 70, but I have a lot to stick around for. I have daughter, granddaughter and a grandson on the way, plus numerous friends, and still look forward to experience many new things yet.
Stop shilling this, it’s false and harmful. The quarantine should end when our public officials say it should, otherwise we will have thousands of needless deaths.
People are sick, the economy is sinking, layoffs are imminent, and we urgently need the stimulus package formalized. Meanwhile our leaders are haggling over airplane emissions and other partisan agenda items. Really pathetic.
The current Bill in the Senate allows for the Treasury Department to have a $500 BILLION DOLLAR BAIL OUT FUND that can be used without any restrictions or limits to bail-out the Airlines, Oil & Gas Industry, Cruise Lines, Hotels, etc. you name it.
Never mind that the Airlines spent 96% of their free cash flow over the last couple of years buying back their stock.
The Democrats are clearly not in favor of the Bail-Outs. I remember a time when the GOP also was against Bail-Outs, but that seems to have changed over the years.
You mean the bill that republicans wrote that allows for up 50 billion dollars sent to corporations of their choosing? And that Mnuchin doesn’t have to say who or how much they gave for 6 months?
No accountability for how the corporations spend that money as well.
It’s a joke, where is the protection for health care workers or delivery drivers and grocery store clerks?
Meanwhile Rand Paul is walking around spreading the covid19 to god knows how many senators and aides.
This is a disaster of epic proportions
Life must be so scary for you, Yogurt, because everything appears to be “a disaster of epic proportions.”
Dd….THAT is the primary question we should be demanding Co. Health answer. Up 10 each day for several days? That would indicate there is NO control working, unless testing #s also increasing a LOT each day.
I do think some of the increases come from increased testing, but also keep in mind we are only testing when you have actually acute symptoms, so what you are testing today reflects infections which may have happened up to two weeks earlier. In order to see whether the shelter in place works or not you will have to wait probably until the the end of the month and then you hopefully should see a flattening of the curve.
Any chance of reporting how many people have tested positive but have either not been really sick or have recovered?
They are not testing those people at all. At least not in the Bay Area so that number we can be assured is probably huge, driving the actual mortality rate down.
California has over 39.5 million people.
Let’s assume at this point (even with the SIP) 1% of the population (thats 1 out of every 100 people) is currently not feeling well (has some sort of flu like symptoms). That would be about 395,000 sick people.
They have tested or are in the process of testing a total of just under 60k people or roughly only 15% of people that are sick are being tested.
To be up front, I pulled the 1% number out of thin air. I figured right now, 1 out of 100 would be a good low number to start with.
I really wish the would release estimated numbers of those that are sick but haven’t been tested.
Sources:
https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/CID/DCDC/Pages/Immunization/ncov2019.aspx
https://www.cdph.ca.gov/Programs/OPA/Pages/NR20-031.aspx
COVID-19 in California by the Numbers
Note: The following numbers reflect information received by local health jurisdictions as of 2 p.m. PDT March 22. More current numbers may be available from local health jurisdictions.
1,733 – Positive cases
27 – Deaths (including one non-California resident)
Ages of all confirmed positive cases:
Age 0-17: 25 cases
Age 18-49: 837 cases
Age 50-64: 442 cases
Age 65+: 415 cases
Unknown: 14 cases
1,709 – Cases not related to repatriation flights….
Testing in California
As of 2 p.m. PDT on March 22, approximately 26,400 tests had been conducted in California. This includes the latest numbers California has received from commercial and private labs. At least 14,317 results have been received and another 12,100 are pending.
I want to see information on existing health conditions. The numbers you have shown are great, but what about the percentage of folks who died or required ICU intervention had existing health conditions that were exasperated by SARS 2.0 (COVID-19)? Italy just posted some date on 20March https://www.cebm.net/global-covid-19-case-fatality-rates/.
0.8% of the folks who had died at that point had no prior medical conditions. 49% of the deaths had three or more existing health conditions. The article took into consideration the CFR (case fatality rate) as it examined the demographics. It looked at the initial increase of CFR and then the drastic decline. For example China was had a 17% CFR Jan 1, but only 0.7% on Feb 1. Overall they are currently at 2.3% but this number very drastically by age group. Under 50, you are looking at 0.41%, over 80, you see 14.8%.
If they don’t test every sick person, the numbers/statistics don’t mean squat….. they will be incorrect.
Fewer people will be tested than won’t be.
To prevent a total meltdown of society and something far worse than the virus
maybe we could follow a plan kind of like this:
1. Open the economy back up. Let young and healthy people work and feed their families.
2. Encourage masks, or even require them, for certain industries where transmission might be especially likely.
3. Keep nursing homes quarantined.
4. Tell other at-risk people to remain in their homes for now.
5. Test aggressively and quarantine the infected.
6. Provide financial relief to at-risk people who cannot work
Bob,
Great points.
Where are the masks? Where are the tests?
We are woefully underprepared for any of it. This is a shame
Definitely not prepared! And definitely not prepared for what is going to happen when the economy crashes. At least 30 million people on the streets without food, money or homes to name a few things and will result in chaos that we have never seen.
Just listened to Trump ramble for 90 minutes.
Last week, he said that the virus could go into August. Today, he says that he would like to open things up as early as next week. Makes no sense. He’s lost all credibility. He and his staff are just kidding themselves.
Meanwhile, the virus lived up to 17 days in the state rooms of the Princess Lines Cruise Ship.
The Governors are going to continue to keep the Stay at Home policy intact and give a big middle finger to the Feds. Mark my words.
are you also now watching Newscum fall over himself thanking Trump. Wow! Who’da thought CA’s Governor would help Trump’s Re-Election??????
Those cruises are petri dishes. Anything can live up to 17 days in those rooms. Like the multitude of Norovirus outbreaks weren’t warning enough?
The President and his cadre of advisors are attempting to strike a balance between the steps to contain the Covid-19 outbreak with the devastation it could have on the economy. Of course, the situation is closely monitored and changes in policy taken as warranted. We can expect directives to change frequently as a result.
With regards to the cruise ship, what the CDC actually reported is that they found RNA from the virus 17 days later, not active live virus.
That’s like finding DNA in a frozen woolly mammoth bone and CNBC reporting they found a viable woolly mammoth.
Two straight press conferences now without Dr.Tony Fauci.
Not good.
S, Newsom (could you perhaps dispense with the juvenile name calling, hard to take your seriously when you act so immature), so I gather you are pleased, since it seems you are a Trump supporter, so anything to get him re-elected must be fine with you.
As far as I’m concerned it just means Newsom has figured out how to play Trump, the guy is a sucker for compliments, so although not a Trump supporter, that is fine with me, anything that helps California is fine with me, and it could also be that Newsom thinks Trump has been very helpful and he is sincere in his praise, that too is fine with me.
yeah that’s not a good sign. I wonder if they will pull from the Heritage Foundation to find a conservative shill to replace him.
Amazing to hear the President talk about possibly scaling back restrictions (because he says that our economy wasn’t built to be shut-down) as the virus is spreading infection EXPONENTIALLY and our health professionals and state governors are begging for protective gear as our Surgeon General appears on the Today Show telling everyone that its about to get really bad.
This is like watching a slow moving train wreck.
Totally insane.
It does not make any sense to destroy your country to prevent a flu virus. Having 30 million people on the streets without food or anything else is not my idea of defeating a virus.
I would like my kids and grandkids to have a country left after this. If most people stay home, soon they will have no homes to stay home to!
@ Bobfished
You know you could start to inform yourself about different types of viruses. Covid is a coronavirus, Influenza is an orthomyxovirus. They are genetically quite different. So no we are not trying to prevent a flu virus.
This isn’t the flu, this is a virus that can severely attack a person’s lungs to the point where they need a respirator to breathe. It has a higher fatality rate than the common flu.
It is true that that for most people, they just have flu like symptoms or no symptoms at all. But for those who are unlucky, it can be a terrible disease. A person can be young and healthy and still get the worse symptoms.
Explain the higher fatality rate?5000 people in one week died from the common flu.Don’t let this fact stop you from showing some facts to back up your emotion filled statement,its all it is.
Bobfished you are right,this is only going to cause more real sickness.
Also,isnt there more than 50 people in lots of homeless camps?I guess they’re health doesn’t matter,and them breaking the law is always allowed.
Gitty Up, Perhaps there is a defect in my computer, but there isn’t always right under the comment I want to reply to, sometimes it is several comments down, hence my comment appears some comments down. Right now I’m looking at your comment, but right after your comment is a comment from James, If I’m missing something please educate me, I’m always willing to learn. By the way I think Silva commented about that yesterday.
Hanne, See that faint line running along the left side of comments by james and me? Follow that line up to the comment above that is not indented (where that faint line stops). There should be a reply button under that comment. Hitting that button under the original comment puts it in the same column as other indented comments in that string which would be where james and my comments appear.. The faint line on the left indicates that the string of comments are all in reply to the comment at the top — which is not indented.
On the other hand, sometimes a software glitch, virus, or a hacker will post comments elsewhere than where you intended. Or, that has been my experience. When I’m having that problem, I unplug my router for a minute or two and let it reset which takes another minute or two. Sometimes it may require logging into the router again, so I make sure I have the address and password handy before I unplug it.
Thanks for the tip, but I can’t get it to work that way, so I will just continue to go to the closest reply button and put in the name of the person I’m replying to.
As for missing out on a sense of humor growing up in Denmark. No, I actually have a well developed sense of humor, perhaps it doesn’t show in comments when you can’t hear the voice infliction, or we might have a different idea of what “sense of humor”.