Contra Costa COVID-19 Testing Nearly Doubles Pandemic Peak In Latest Surge

January 19, 2022 8:00 am · 25 comments

Contra Costa County is testing almost twice as many people for COVID-19 than any other time during the pandemic, county health services director Anna Roth told the Board of Supervisors on Tuesday.

The county is administering about 15,000 tests per day. Before the latest surge, the high was 8,400.

“Depending on how you’re counting, this is either the fifth wave or the sixth wave, but we are clearly in a surge now,” Roth said.

Active daily cases, which have been rising since November with the arrival of the omicron variant, are currently at a seven-day average of 2,320 a day, Roth said. County officials are just starting to see those numbers stabilize.

But that’s in a county nearly 80 percent vaccinated — 79.3 as of Tuesday — well above the national average of 74.9. And because of the availability of home tests, which are selling as fast as area stores can get them, more positive cases go unreported, because they’re not severe enough to require hospitalization.

Roth said, of reported cases in Contra Costa, 362.2 cases per 100,000 people are among unvaccinated people, 235 in vaccinated people without a booster, and 107 are among people who got a booster.

“So we’re really encouraging you to get your vaccination,” Roth said. “It makes a huge difference.”

Roth said appointments are available all over the county and can be made at cchealth.org, where there’s also a link to the national website to receive free tests in the mail (covidtest.gov).

Contra Costa County has administered more than 3 million COVID-19 tests and more than a million vaccinations.

“These kind of numbers are a testament to our community really stepping forward and doing everything they can to protect themselves and each other,” Roth said.

Jay Roller January 19, 2022 at 8:04 AM

Gotta keep the numbers up, better keep testing!!

Anon January 19, 2022 at 8:20 AM

EPIC FAILURE.
Two years into this and you have forbidden ANY discussions with Doctors regarding treatments.
Also, you have said NOTHING about diet, supplements or lifestyle.
The only thing you have pushed is the injections.

Now mainstream news is reporting that California leads the Nation with cases. But the Superbowl will go on, Right!?!?

TOTAL FAILURE & INCOMPETENCE.

Gruesome Newsom January 19, 2022 at 9:19 AM

Not only forbidding but the State is actively investigating any doctor prescribing alternative treatments or medical exemptions. In California doctors cannot use their medical judgement when treating their patients. Under threat of investigation from the State they have to comply and follow Lord Science (Dr Fauci) and Dem covid policy or face punishment. How’s that? Sounds a lot like Nazi Germany to me and the Dems keep calling Conservatives fascists? Total clown world

Martin January 19, 2022 at 4:34 PM

+

Bruh January 19, 2022 at 8:37 AM

It’s not even a vaccine and the health director doesn’t know that 😂😂.

Btw. I guess Roth is a little behind her party’s narrative change, but the focus is not on cases anymore.

I expect she’ll remember she can read in a few months then she’ll only be talking about hospitalizations.

bendavis801 January 19, 2022 at 9:07 AM

My wife just got over covid. She had a fever and cough and was very tired she had two vax shots.
I tested positive yesterday I am fine no fever just a little body ache.
I only had one vax shot. In this case the extra shot made it worse.

Aunt Barbara January 19, 2022 at 11:53 AM

Thanks for sharing the truth Ben.
That’s why the anagram is MORONIC
Should be HOAX

Hope your wife is all better now.

The Mamba January 19, 2022 at 9:09 AM

I’m just getting over it, it was a bad cold for me. I am vaccinated and boosted, I guess maybe I didn’t get it as bad, but it certainly didn’t prevent me from getting it.

Captain Bebops January 19, 2022 at 9:15 AM

Yes, it’s flu and cold season! Three years ago people coming down with these symptoms would have stayed home and done their usual routine for dealing with a cold or flu. Now they run shrieking to the hospital in fear they have Covid. Common cold symptoms (Mayo Clinic):
– Runny or stuffy nose
– Sore throat
– Cough
– Congestion
– Slight body aches or a mild headache
– Sneezing

Omicron symptoms (ZOE Covid Study):
– Runny nose
– Dry/scratchy throat
– Mild muscle aches
– Sneezing
– Fatigue

We have a hysteria epidemic.

Cellophane January 19, 2022 at 9:18 AM

Testing, testing, testing.

The next panic will about getting everyone the proper mask.

I can’t imagine the next idea they come up with.

They think we are all very stupid and gullible.

Some of us are, most of us are not.

A 35 cent pill could have saved so many lives.

chuckie the troll January 19, 2022 at 9:28 AM

The settled-science clearly indicates that the vaccines are not preventing covid infections at anywhere near the 95% level originally promised. They do appear to offer a limited reduction in the severity of symptoms. So you can either cower-in-place or live as a free person. I vote for freedom and hope over fear and loathing.

Martinezmike January 19, 2022 at 11:16 AM

Yes. Let’s keep the fear and loathing in Las Vegas

this_that January 19, 2022 at 9:29 AM

The UK just announced end of mask/vax mandates.

There is hope.

Graceful January 19, 2022 at 9:41 AM

No symptoms but yet you get tested…why? is it your job that is requiring it? I don’t understand. Why not go get TB, AIDS and other contagious disease tests while you are at it? every couple weeks? Go for your Gene Therapy….thats what this is going towards, because you DO know that the govt. wont issue your cards based on natural immunity right?

Roz January 19, 2022 at 11:00 AM

@ Graceful~
Yeah…..My Hubby needs to test once a week for his job, since we are not vaxx’ed. Thank God he retires in September this year.
At this point, catching Covid and have natural immunity might be a blessing, LOL!

Nope! January 19, 2022 at 9:45 AM

We aren’t all this stupid. If you double testing you’ll get more positives. I’m done playing. Keep your masks, testing, and fake vaccinations.

WC Resident January 19, 2022 at 12:11 PM

@Nope! – Nope, if you double testing you find more cases, not positives.

The percentage of tests that report “COVID-19” is a far more reliable indicator of how well or badly we are doing than the number of cases. Back in November the positivity rate was about 2% and currently it’s about 20%.

You can also use it to estimate the total number of cases in the county. The population is about 1.16 million. Back in November an estimated 2% of that 1.16 million or 23,200 people were running around with COVID-19. At present 20% of the population, or 232,000 people have COVID-19. As one in five people have COVID-19 at present you are getting exposed when you are out in the public.

The good news is that as nearly everyone is catching COVID-19 we all soon will have lived through the Omicron variant and thus should be relatively immune to it. The positivity rate and and thus the number of new cases per day will soon crash back to the 2% background noise level caused by the other variants.

The Observer January 19, 2022 at 4:26 PM

@WC Resident The 20% positivity rate applies only to the people recently tested. Of course, not everyone currently infected gets tested, but many of them do, either because they have symptoms or are at significant risk of having been infected. In other words, testing is not applied to a random sample of the county. To find out the percentage of all County residents who are infected, one would have to test a sizable and completely random sample of the population. The actual percentage is certainly much smaller than you have suggested.

WC Resident January 19, 2022 at 9:40 PM

@The Observer – Nearly all of the tests performed are survey screening. Thus I feel it’s valid to extrapolate from the positivity rate to the entire population. Examples of survey screening are people who get tested regularly and people who get tested in preparation for travel, a medical procedure, an event, or because they are unvaxed and their employer thus requires testing.

I have wished though that the testing reports had sub-sections for why the test was performed as I agree that tests to confirm a suspected case of COVID-19 will have a higher positivity rate and those test results should not be included in the survey screening numbers. A third group are tests of people in close contact with someone that was confirmed to have COVID-19.

Keep in mind that at present we are conducting a large number of tests relative to the population. Here are the numbers on a weekly basis:

12/04/2021  43,365
12/11/2021  41,662
12/18/2021  41,546
12/25/2021  41,138
01/01/2022  62,293
01/08/2022 111,875
01/15/2022  88,737

The dates are the week-ending day. I’d assume very few people are tested twice in a week meaning that something like 111,875 tests is 9.6% of the county’s population got tested. That’s likely better quality data than random sampling. Even on the weeks with lower numbers 3.5% of the population was tested.

JG27AD January 19, 2022 at 10:11 AM

Your NEGATIVE result is only valid at the time you took the test. What is the rate of FALSE POSITIVE results?
Feb 1 is the date I am done with the whole thing, barring some drastic change in the IFR.

AD

WC Resident January 19, 2022 at 10:21 AM

I’m surprised they are still pushing vaccination as the final solution of the day. According to the county COVID-19 vaccine dashboard at https://www.coronavirus.cchealth.org/vaccine-dashboard we are at 1,000,889 people with at least one vaccine shot. That’s roughly 86.3% of the total population. (the county is using an an outdated number for the population but 86.3% is close enough for Government work…). The vaccine is not available for people under 5 and so the percentage is likely closer to 90% of those that are eligible for the vaccines. Using the last 7 days, roughly 922 people per day are showing up for their first shot meaning the percentage will continue to climb though very slowly.

More concerning is that of that of the 1,000,889 that got their first shot, 81,308 of them have not come back for their second shot or boosters. 8.1% of the people getting a shot are not coming back? Why? I have very little advertising or messaging from the county targeting this group of people. Using the trend for the last 7 days, of the 922 people showing up for their first shot each day 214 (23.2%) of them are not coming back.

Graceful January 19, 2022 at 11:01 AM

why not just invest your money directly into the big pharma companies? or invest in these test kit companies? better yet, you can get into the vaccine bond market, then every shot given will earn you some money!!!!!

Toni January 19, 2022 at 4:12 PM

~ “Roth said, of reported cases in Contra Costa, 362.2 cases per 100,000 people are among unvaccinated people, 235 in vaccinated people without a booster, and 107 are among people who got a booster.
“So we’re really encouraging you to get your vaccination,” Roth said. “It makes a huge difference.”~

See how they’re spinning the numbers, skewing the data to push vaccinations? If you add the vaccinated and boosted case rate you get 342 which is only 20 below the unvaxinated case rate. But sure, getting vaccinated makes a HUGE difference.

WC Resident January 19, 2022 at 8:18 PM

@Toni – You can’t add those numbers. You divide one by the other to get a ratio.

362.2 cases per 100,000 for the unvaxed divided by 107 cases per 100,000 for the boosted is 3.4.

You are 3.4 times more likely to catch COVID-19 if you are not vaccinated. Or, the other way around is that compared to an unvacinated person you are 3.4 less likely to catch COVID-19.

The ratio between unvax and vax is 1.5
The ratio between vax and boosted is 2.2

I believe the main thing those numbers are showing is that the protection offered by vaccination wears off quickly. The vaccinated-only people likely got their shots in early to mid-2021. That’s why their case rate is only 1.5 times better than the unvaxed. Boosters are a new thing and so are more likely to be fresh in a person’s system. The boosted people are faring 2.2 times better than the vacinnated.

Jojo The Circus Clown January 19, 2022 at 11:59 PM

I am getting excited … can’t wait to see the arresting begin … I think soon. Stocking up on popcorn and beer!

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