COVID-19 Daily Update From The Contra Costa County Health Dept.

January 20, 2021 16:00 pm · 21 comments

Contra Costa County COVID-19 data as of Wednesday Jan.20, 2021.

All information is from the Contra Costa County Health Dept.:

  • Total cases (since March) – 53,349
  • Recovered cases – 45,676
  • Deaths – 460
  • Total active confirmed cases – 7,213
  • One person under 30 years old has died (19-30 age range)
  • 223 deaths in Contra Costa County nursing homes.
  • There are currently 64 active COVID-19 outbreaks in Contra Costa nursing homes

Contra Costa County COVID-19 Hospital Data:

  • COVID-19 patients currently hospitalized – 276
  • Occupied ICU beds – 144 (64 COVID patients)
  • Available ICU beds – 19 (1.7%) (Bay Area region is 7.4%, according to the State of CA; Contra Costa County says Bay Area region is 3.4%)
  • Available ventilators – 158

PREVIOUS DAY NUMBERS SHOWN BELOW:

Contra Costa County COVID-19 data as of Tuesday Jan.19, 2021.

All information is from the Contra Costa County Health Dept.:

  • Total cases (since March) – 52,965
  • Recovered cases – 44,858
  • Deaths – 450
  • Total active confirmed cases – 7,657
  • One person under 30 years old has died (19-30 age range)
  • 217 deaths in Contra Costa County nursing homes.
  • There are currently 62 active COVID-19 outbreaks in Contra Costa nursing homes

Contra Costa County COVID-19 Hospital Data:

  • COVID-19 patients currently hospitalized – 268
  • Occupied ICU beds – 144 (56 COVID patients)
  • Available ICU beds – 23 (3.0%) (Bay Area region is 7.4%, according to the State of CA; Contra Costa County says Bay Area region is 1.8%)
  • Available ventilators – 165
KT January 19, 2021 at 2:10 PM

What happened to Monday? Since it was a holiday, nothing happened?

Tugboat January 19, 2021 at 2:16 PM

Geez, get someone at the CoCo Health Department that can do math…
23 available ICU Beds out of total ICU Beds of 167 is 13.7%, not 3%.

Anon January 19, 2021 at 3:17 PM

That’s the new Idiocracy / Common core math.
Destroy the Economy and peoples lives (in the name of ‘saving’ lives) over Fuzzy Math!

Brawndo Makes Things Grow!

Know It All January 19, 2021 at 2:47 PM

@Tugboat. Did you also notice that 17 ICU beds magically disappeared in one day despite only a change of one normal person and one COVID patient in the numbers. Along with the mistake you pointed out something literally and figuratively don’t add up.

Tugboat January 21, 2021 at 7:38 AM

Yes, I did notice. the health department seems more than willing to manipulate numbers. Anything to keep the lockdown going. Has anyone told them that SlowJoe and the Ho won?

Wage Slave January 19, 2021 at 3:05 PM

It’s not even that. The prior day’s numbers say 143 occupied ICU beds, 40 available, and a percent free of 12.7% If you add the two numbers, get 183, and divide the 40 free by the 183 total, you get almost 22% free, not 12.7%

Then you take today’s numbers, 144 occupied beds, 23 available, for an availability of 3%. If you add the two, you get 177 total beds, 6 fewer than the day prior. If you divide the 23 available by the total number of 177, you get almost 13%, not 3%.

I guess their formula has something to do with available staffing and whatnot too, but considering this is the metric that is the sole arbiter of people getting their freedom back, the New Math accounting going on here is asinine. Either do the math the way any sane person would, or give a better explanation.

Wage Slave January 19, 2021 at 3:06 PM

167 not 177, but the main point remains.

Mom of the Horde January 19, 2021 at 9:57 PM

The bed count is dependent on staffing. They have to have enough nurses and respiratory therapists. It’s usually no more than 2 patients per nurse in the ICU and I think it’s 5 patients per respiratory therapist.

KT January 20, 2021 at 2:41 AM

Did you notice that Monday’s numbers aren’t listed?

Momof2 January 19, 2021 at 5:00 PM

Why does the state and county say 2 difference percentages for the available icu beds?

MamaC January 19, 2021 at 7:13 PM

It is calculated by the staffing.
Really unfair if you ask me. We will take months to get to 15% at these calculations.

chuckie the troll January 19, 2021 at 7:24 PM

Because Gavin bin Lyin’!

AskFarnitano January 19, 2021 at 7:26 PM

Has anybody asked Farnitano, publicly, why these numbers don’t make any sense day to day?

Let’s assume we reach this magical 15% threshold, then the next day the number of available beds increase, but the availability drops to 13.2%?

We still locking down?

This is just dumb.

Ricardoh January 19, 2021 at 8:20 PM

I went for my first vaccine shot in Pittsburg today. They named the place and address I was to go to.. There was no sign saying the same name and you couldn’t see an address. There was no sign to direct you to the correct building or entrance. I decided to park and go into an entrance I saw and ask for directions and lo and behold without a sign to be seen I went to the right door. Moderna shot and I have to go back on the 16th of Feb for the next one. After you get in they treat you well.

Rae Dio January 19, 2021 at 8:25 PM

Our numbers don’t add up so we can’t open up outside dining, but the Sacramento region abruptly gets the OK to go to a lower tier. Newsom must have had dinner plans in the capital city.

Led January 20, 2021 at 3:11 PM

Total active cases are starting to go down. Looks like we are cresting this wave. About time. Now if our oh so competent state would get the vaccine to people…

If you look at Bloomberg’s vaccine tracking map, California is among the very worst states in the percentage of supply delivered to the state that has been given to people. Texas has like two thirds the vaccine doses we do, but they have given just about as many injections as we have. And we are way, way behind the rate of the Dakotas and West Virginia, of all places! Those anti-science red states, making us look bad by being competent and stuff!

And yeah, relating our tier to percentage available ICU bed calculations that are not really percentages, but some kind of proprietary formula… There’s no way for the public to tell if that makes sense at all. If it isn’t a percentage, don’t call it one. Public Communications 101. If you are going to put some number out there, don’t actively mislead the public about what it means. How many people who needed the hospital have stayed home because they were told they were at zero capacity, I wonder?

WC Resident January 20, 2021 at 9:03 PM

Active cases is strictly a function of new cases. New cases is strictly a function of how many tests you do. The rise and fall of active cases is charting the 14-day rolling sum of of how many tests you do per day.

The positivity rate has been 10%, give or take a fraction, since the end of December. The number of new cases will be 10% of the number of tests. It’s very simple math made even easier that the positivity rate has been 10% meaning you can just divide the number of tests by ten and you know the number of new cases.

Active cases is defined as the sum of new cases for the past 14 days. There are adjustments where you add in the hospital for more than 14 days and subtract the number of people that died. As very few people get hospitalized and even fewer die we can ignore both adjustments and say say that active cases is the sum of new cases for the past 14 days.

As new cases is strictly based on the number of tests it follows that active cases charts the rise and fall of the number of tests per day.

The only numbers that seem useful are the number in the hospital, number in the ICU, and the number of deaths.

I believe the ICU percentage thing is a percentage but they are not doing the math on the same set of numbers that are published. In that sense, you are correct in that it’s a proprietary formula.

Sam L January 21, 2021 at 7:54 AM

Downloaded CCC Hospital Data. Using ICU #’s total ICU beds range from 156 to 183 over time. Says staffed beds, so maybe staffing is up and down?

Using their numbers, get a low of 10% to a high of 38% ICU beds available. No idea where the % reported is coming from.

Sam January 21, 2021 at 8:57 AM

Now that the coup has been completed for Joe Biden.
The World Health Organization has now released guidance to laboratories around the world to reduce the cycle count in PCR tests to get a more accurate representation of COVID cases.

The current cycle was much too high and resulting in any particle being declared a positive case.

COVID IS A HOAX. ALWAYS WAS. YOU PEOPLE FELL FOR IT EVEN THOUGH YOU WERE TOLD. ENJOY LIVING THE REST OF YOUR LIVES KNOWING HOW GULLIBLE YOU ARE.

Cranky Taco January 21, 2021 at 9:44 AM

Open the state!

Recall the current dictator!

This is BS

Ace January 21, 2021 at 6:05 PM

The country should open for business and close the ICU for COVID cases. ICU should be used for it’s original purpose. At this point, everyone knows what the risks are. If you don’t want to risk contracting COVID, stay home.

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