Bay Area’s ICU Capacity Now Below 1%

January 11, 2021 16:00 pm · 29 comments

Less than 1 percent of the Bay Area’s intensive care unit beds remain available amid the region’s latest coronavirus surge, Gov. Gavin Newsom said Monday.

Approximately 0.7 percent of the 11-county greater Bay Area region’s ICU beds remain open, according to state public health data. Once ICU capacity hits 0 percent, the region would then pivot to its surge capacity of additional ICU beds.

Statewide, hospitalizations due to COVID-19 have risen 6 percent over the past two weeks to 21,668 while ICU admissions have increased 13 percent to 1,868 as of Sunday.

“That’s among the smallest increases we’ve seen over a two-week period in some time,” Newsom said.

The region’s ICU capacity has steadily dwindled since falling below 15 percent in mid-December, triggering the state’s stay-at-home order.

That order will almost assuredly be extended, Newsom said Monday during a briefing on the pandemic, but state public health officials are not expected to formally announce the length of its extension until Tuesday.

According to Newsom, the state has deployed nearly 1,900 state and federal staff members to health care systems throughout the state to tend to the surge of cases, which has kept ICU capacity in Southern California and the San Joaquin Valley at 0 percent for several days.

Exit 12A January 11, 2021 at 4:17 PM

Flatten the curve.
Colored coded tier positivity rate.
.. now ICU beds are the criterion.
We’re all mentally fatigued by the moving target BS from Newsolini and his left wingers and socialists.
Increase the number of ICU beds.. NOW!!!

Joe Blo January 11, 2021 at 7:57 PM

So you want to increase the number of beds but not the number of dedicated nurses and personnel to deal with the increase of beds? That negatively affects the experience of the patients and the caretakers.

Making an outrageous political statement followed up by a lack of knowledge isn’t helping anything.

Anon January 11, 2021 at 8:36 PM

I trust the Science, of you have a concert as opposed to a cat expo = you need to increase the number of Porta potties.
Since NOTHING else is going on in these hospitals = it’s time to convert EMPTY rooms to ICU.

I guess the common core curriculum has already taken root on these people though.

bdml January 12, 2021 at 7:34 AM

@ Joe Blo

The opinion of increasing the ICU beds is hardly an outrageous political statement. You are the only one who went there, get over yourself and go back to being one of the sheep…baa baa did you understand that better?

Exit 12A January 12, 2021 at 10:55 AM

In this pandemic, health care workers need to step up and take care of the sick to the best of their ability… regardless of what their union says. They have the moral duty to do so.
Or is it just a “job”?

Original G January 11, 2021 at 4:28 PM

Gosh, too bad we don’t have those three complete 200 bed portable hospitals that were part of 2006 program set up by then Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger to handle natural disasters and pandemics.

As part of that program 50 million N95 masks were stored, 2,400 portable ventilators along with 21,000 additional patient beds in kit form all up in Sacramento in a warehouse. They could be dispatched set up and functioning anywhere in the state in 72 hours.

DEMs got rid of them in 2011 to save money.

By the way how’s newsom’s curve flattening doin’ ? ? ?

bdml January 12, 2021 at 7:35 AM

I believe we still have a ways to go to flatten the curve…what a crock!

Tugboat January 11, 2021 at 4:32 PM

The numbers submitted by CCHD do not support this.

Captain Bebops January 11, 2021 at 4:32 PM

IOW, all counties must suffer at the level of the lowest common denominator county. That’s a “Harrison Bergeron” scenario. Misery loves company? Contra Costa is doing better at 8.5% so we’re doing something right. What are the other counties doing wrong?

Kauai Mike January 11, 2021 at 4:57 PM

I’ve asked this before without getting an answer…

and don’t ask to be racist or a sh*t stirrer…

seriously, I just wonder,,,

how many of our ICU beds are occupied by illegal aliens or patients from other areas?

Will we be out of beds for us and under lock-down restrictions because our bed count breached the limit due to others?

Who can answer?

Most likely January 11, 2021 at 7:44 PM

I have a feeling it’s a high number. Why haven’t they shut the border down if it’s so bad in CA? You’d think that would be thought of first. Or get the ship back?

DLo January 11, 2021 at 8:58 PM

Here is the most recent available ICU capacity from each Bay Area county, and the number of available ICU beds, according to state data:

Alameda: 29.1% [68 beds available]

Contra Costa: 10.7% [36 beds available]

Marin: 8% [13 beds available]

Napa: 0% [1 bed available]

San Francisco: 28.7% [70 beds available]

San Mateo: 9.7% [20 beds available]

Santa Clara: 7% (includes surge beds) [39 beds available]

Solano: 4% [9 beds available]

Sonoma: 14.4% [10 beds available]

Monterey: Percentage N/A [41 beds available]

Santa Cruz: 0% [0 beds available]

TOTAL: 307 beds available as of Monday.

State COVID math drops the entire region to 0.7 percent.

Original G January 11, 2021 at 5:05 PM

Worth a read.

From article,
“Studies have shown that the average infection threshold for COVID-19 is 1,000 virus particles, inhaled either all at once or on separate occasions.

In addition, a single sneeze has the potential to carry up to 200 million virus particles.

The cloth mask let through more than 1,000 sneeze droplets, each of which could have millions of virus particles.

The two-layered cloth mask with a PM2.5 filter let through more than 600 sneeze droplets.

This means that if someone wearing one of these masks is close to an infected individual, enough droplets could escape to make them contract COVID-19.

‘Without a face mask, it is almost certain that many foreign droplets will transfer to the susceptible person,’ …”

Makes one think about what level of protection you want and how much interaction outside the home is acceptable.

Ricardoh January 11, 2021 at 5:21 PM

Looks like the county and the gov disagree.

cheeseburguesa January 11, 2021 at 5:22 PM

As they used to say in elementary school math, show your work. If that’s really the capacity, be transparent about how that number came to be.

Rae Dio January 12, 2021 at 2:31 PM

@cheese – I love it! That is the next rally chant…. “Show your work! Show your work!”. I don’t think they can.

Always Right January 11, 2021 at 5:40 PM

With contra costa county having an ICU availability of 10.7%, it is statistically unlikely for the Bay Area as a whole to have a 0.7% ICU capacity. Total Bay Area population a little less than 8 million. Contra Costs County represents 1.1 million of that total.

Unless contra costa has significantly less than the average number of beds, the math just doesn’t work.

ECM January 11, 2021 at 5:49 PM


Oh, please January 11, 2021 at 7:19 PM

And of course this has nothing to do with taking overflow from surrounding areas… and it’s not like this does not happen every year around this time. SMDH.

SmileWC January 11, 2021 at 7:31 PM

Then why aren’t they asking for outside assistance immediately!

Bad Nombre January 11, 2021 at 8:01 PM

There are already a large number of traveling nurses working here.

Aunt Barbara January 11, 2021 at 10:04 PM

Because they will see that it’s all a fraud! Hospita;s look for more free funds from the State. Go ahead and quote me.
Recall the money grubber Newsom 2020

sam Malone January 12, 2021 at 7:21 AM

Good point about the illegals and patients from other areas who are occupying hospital beds and increasing the numbers significantly.

Folks from other countries and the younger crowd born here seem not to get not have parties and do not socialize. If you do so then you are taking your own life and possibly many others who do follow the rules.

Well another Newsolini “Let’s keep moving the goal posts” so I do not have to be accountable for anything. Just keep throwing stuff at the public and hopefully they are to lazy or stupid to figure out he is doing little if anything except positioning himself to run for President in the future.

RECALL NEWSOM first and then let’s get the others who only want their side heard via media outlets out of office.

ConcordRes2 January 12, 2021 at 8:26 AM

Hope everyone enjoyed their New Years parties your fun has made it to the hospital’s

Rob January 12, 2021 at 10:22 AM

Remember – it’s just like the flu and we see the flu filling ICU’s every year – LOL

Will January 12, 2021 at 10:29 AM

This post would be much more informative with some context. As in, over the last five or ten years what have the county’s ICU wards run at in terms of capacity at this time of year? I have read statements from other states indicating it is normal for ICUs to run close to 100% capacity at this time of year. Would be helpful to have that earlier historical data for CoCoCo over the Nov – Feb time period for the last ten years. I am sure the data exists somewhere. If that data could be published it would likely prove that Comrade Gavin’s 15% rule was never going to be reached, therefore permanent lockdowns by design.

Former californian January 12, 2021 at 12:12 PM

That makes way to much sense so henceforth you must be labeled a right wing extremist who is probably a trump supporting rioter who I will “unfriend” on Facebook.

Will January 12, 2021 at 1:12 PM

@former californian – much of that is true, although I don’t riot or do Facebook. But I’m sure I’ve been labeled a RW extremist. I’ll just have to wait my turn for the FEMA reeducation camps under Slow Joe.

Singledout January 12, 2021 at 11:25 AM

Total BS…

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