Contra Costa is now reporting 168 confirmed cases of coronavirus in the county, which is 21 more than yesterday.
The county has also confirmed one more person has died, bringing the total amount of coronavirus-related deaths to two.
The health department does not release any further details, including the cities of those infected, or the number of people currently hospitalized.
38 comments
Tally totals per date, contra costa county:
3/28 168
3/27 151
3/26 131
3/25 108
3/24 86
3/23 71
3/22 61
3/21 51
3/20 46
3/19 42
Seems like we’re on a downward trend. Hopefully we can keep it that way until we plateau.
Day over day % increase, working backwards from today:
11%
15%
21%
26%
21%
sigh, hit enter too soon… one more time:
11%
15%
21%
26%
21%
16%
20%
So yes, the most recent trend shows a slowing… Social Distancing working? Dunno, seems too soon, but maybe.
RIP to those who have died.
So the rate slowed down today. 17 new cases today, vs. 20 yesterday and 23 the day before. It seems like this is the important number to look at- how many new cases per day. Maybe a glimmer of hope.
Just curious, how many have people have died in CC County from the flu this year, car accidents?
Well I can tell you that in 2017, Contra Costa County had 85 vehicular deaths, 164 deaths from Influenza and Pneumonia and 1600 deaths from heart disease… I would imagine the numbers from year to year are pretty consistent.
This is from LiveStores statistics so take it for what it’s worth.
Deaths from “gun violence” would have been a fun stat to toss in there as well.
Clayton just set a new record for vehicular deaths that exceeds gun violence deaths by 100% yet nobody mentions it.
@ 1791
According to the same source, in 2017 Contra Costa County had 87 firearm-related deaths but this includes homicides, suicides and accidental shooting deaths. According to the same source, approximately 2/3 of all gunshot deaths nationally are suicides so for felonious gun deaths the number in 2017 for Contra Costa County is approximately 29 with approximately 58 suicides.
The good news is that roughly one-third of the 182 have recovered using the CA averages.
I really wish they would report all of the statistics.
I keep wondering what they may be misrepresenting.
They are certainly promoting more fear and dread rather than hope.
This is not helpful, to claim that there is “misrepresentation”. Just, stop.
It’s doubling almost every 4-5 days.
July 1, 2019 estimate population in Contra Costa County – 1,153,526…..
I would like to know what the treatment is in different areas of the world and locally. Seems like what Italy and Spain are doing isn’t working great.
@Bob – Is 151 correct for 3/27? I thought it was 147 but then this morning noticed 151 in headline but did not click to see why.
@Claycord – Contra Costa Health Services is reporting 168 cases and 3 deaths as of 3/28/2020 at 1:00 p.m. I’m guessing the third death is very recent though it’s odd the county decided to change the numbers but not the date/time of the report.
@Cellophane – There have been zero recoveries in the county. Per Johns Hopkins the numbers for CC county are 168 confirmed, 2 deaths, and 166 active cases. The third death seems to be recent and Johns Hopkins has not added it to their data. That’s the reason the shutdowns are becoming more widespread and being enforced more rigorously.
I don’t like to sound negative but the slowing down may not have to do with social (physical) distancing but more to do with the fact that it has been raining and is cold so not many people are going out. Once the weather begins to warm up there will be lots more people going out and jumping barriers to get inside closed parks or trails therefore creating in them a possible belief that the virus is gone so they will be eliminating physical distancing with others so this may make numbers rise. I can also say that I hope the number of cases decrease and all of this is over soon. Rip to those who died, best wishes for a full recovery to those who are sick and thank you to those taking care of them.
No worries, the East Bay Regional Parks Chopper will be patrolling the parks as they were (disturbing the peace) today.
https://usafacts.org/visualizations/coronavirus-covid-19-spread-map/
or this one
https://datawrapper.dwcdn.net/nRyaf/20/
I believe the numbers for Contra Costa County are too small to make valid projections or assumptions about if things are getting worse or better. Part of the issue is that we don’t know if an increase is due to more testing. We also don’t know if how many people are being turned away that show many symptoms but are not critical enough to get tested/confirmed. That said, here are the numbers by day with the # increase and % increase for each day.
Date Cases Increase % increase
3/12/2020 17
3/13/2020 25 8 47%
3/14/2020 29 4 16%
3/15/2020 29 0 0%
3/16/2020 34 5 17%
3/17/2020 39 5 15%
3/18/2020 41 2 5%
3/19/2020 42 1 2%
3/20/2020 46 4 10%
3/21/2020 51 5 11%
3/22/2020 61 10 20%
3/23/2020 71 10 16%
3/24/2020 86 15 21%
3/25/2020 108 22 26%
3/26/2020 131 23 21%
3/27/2020 147 16 12%
3/28/2020 168 21 14%
On March 25th the CDC showed the US had 13 million respiratory Flu cases with 6600 deaths, same day the COVID19 was at 33,000 cases with 400 deaths. The easiest way to control people is through fear. The normal flu seems more scary to me.
@CM
I assume your numbers as of March 25 are correct. Right now COVID-19 has gone up from 33,000 cases to 133,000 cases and associated deaths from 400 to 2,363 in the US. Do you think seasonal influenza has gone up at the same rate in four days?
@CM – COVID-19 is far more infectious and deadly than the flu. Health agencies are working frantically around the clock to slow down COVID-19. It’s a speeding train headed for a curve. They don’t want it to derail. At present the train is still accelerating with the infection numbers increasing every day.
The current measures, plus some luck, will hopefully slow the train down enough so that we will see only 120,000 to 150,000 dead in the USA and 3 to 10 million worldwide.
There is no treatment for COVID-19. There are no immunizations. For now, this virus picks its own time line, not Donald Trump’s aspirational projections.
The flu is primary a gastrointestinal bug. COVID-19 attacks the lungs. Most people can live for months or years with a screwed up stomach or intestines. Healthy adults can live a few hours with an active COVID-19 infection in the lungs. Those hours can can be stretched to a few days to weeks with extraordinarily intensive medical care.
@ JWB
Here is a question for you. I’ve seen estimates that the actual infection rate for the US is as high as 10x the reported number. We don’t know the actual number of infections but we do know the exact number of deaths. Assuming the 10x is an accurate estimate would it not be reasonable to assume that the symptoms of those infected are minor/ asymptomatic and infected do not feel the need to seek medical aid? If I had difficulty breathing I would seek medial aid, wouldn’t you? Especially with all the media coverage and shelter in place.
If you use the know number of infected and times it by 10 the death rate for COVIN-19 is similar to seasonal influenza is it not? This is not my opinion but an opinion coauthored by Dr. Anthony S. Fauci, yes that Dr. Facui, published in the New England Journal of Medicine dated March 26, 2020.
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMe2002387
That said, I think it’s just too early in the life cycle of this virus to come to any meaningful conclusions but it is hopeful is it not?
@ Carnac
I agree that it is still early and there is still a lot unknown about the infection. Also I agree that we don’t know the numbers of infections and we can do some guesses but that’s what they are at this time guesses until we know more. I would not agree that we know the exact number of deaths. Pneumonia is a very common form of death for terminally ill people. It’s well possible that certainly prior of increased testing access there may have been also deaths that were not properly diagnosed.
WC,
If the virus “picks it’s own timeline, not Donald Trump’s aspirational projections” then by the same token we shouldn’t expect it to take the aspirational projections of anyone, right?
JWB,
So we agree again, these numbers really don’t mean anything at this point. I can’t recall the last time I heard one of the scientists or health care professionals utter the word “guess” on NPR.
@ JWB
Do you really think coroner’s are not going to ponder a sudden spike in pneumonia deaths considering what is going on?
I don’t know this to be a fact but I would suspect that even attended death that are suspected to be COVID-19 but were not confirmed when the patient was alive are getting a postmortem specimen sample taken for testing. With NIMS/SIMS reimbursement in place there is cost impediment for doing so.
The CDC has guidelines for testing collection and submission of postmortem specimens from deceased persons with known or suspected COVID-19. It would seem the CDC would like an accurate accounting of deaths related to COVID-19.
https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/guidance-postmortem-specimens.html
@ 1791
I wouldn’t go as far as saying “don’t mean anything” since they do show that it is a serious and deadly disease and it is spreading across the globe. I agree that I would not put too much stock into the absolute numbers because they depend a) on the amount of testing and proper diagnosing and b) on the honesty of reporting.
JWB,
Good point. Bad choice of words on my part.
Sunday tomorrow Vigil candlelight at your home ! Between 8-8:30pm let’s gather for a moment of silence for the victims that didn’t make it & are still fighting there battle with covid19 want more Info ??
good ideal I will do the same. In fact, after all this is over, I am going to light up the candle every night for the victim probably for a year could be longer if I want to continue to keep lighting candle each night.
I am also thinking about just using electric candle each night in front of my condo front door for the CV victims so, maybe other neighbors will do the same thing they will get the ideal
India the country more crowded than New York City that uses hydroxychloroquine has twenty five deaths.
Los Angeles County details where cases are in county. Nice job.
This is what Contra Costa County could do.
http://publichealth.lacounty.gov/media/Coronavirus/locations.htm
Comparing fatalities such as car accident, gun violence, diet and tobacco related is not useful, none of these are contagious. Innocent people die from guns and car accidents, but diet, tobacco and alcohol related are for the most part self inflicted.
Hanne,
While they may not be contagious, there’s a lot to ponder in your post.
Many innocent people are saved by good people with guns and innocent people die at the hands of mentally ill killers who use firearms as a weapon of choice. Now that statement doesn’t fit the narrative so you may not be aware of this fact. As a member of the NRA and CRPA I’m very well aware of it.
I wonder how many innocent people around the globe have been saved from extinction by the American armed forces, Police, etc. I know, I get it, that’s not what you’re referring to.
Ask anyone who’s ever had to bury a loved one that’s been killed by a drunk driver how they feel about alcohol deaths being “self inflicted”.
Ever see a TV show called Mad Men? Smoking in restaurants was seemingly mandatory in the ’60’s, right? These days it’s illegal within most cities even if you’re outside! Second hand smoke kills.
I’m not trying to give you a hard time here, just saying there’s always more than one way to skin a cat. There’s a broader picture to see.
Hanne, do you know any people who are only still alive because they did have a gun? I do.
I wonder how many anti gun people have been victims of crime & died wishing they had a gun.
I really don’t want to get into a gun vs anti gun argument. Neither of us will change our minds. I will never own a gun, have never had use for one. I understand that people want to have a gun for protection, it is their right, so no argument there. I don’t doubt that some are still alive because they had a gun to defend themselves. However, there are also some who are death because a gun accidentally went off. I knew of 2 in my small circle where I grew up in Denmark. Countries being saved from Armed forces well aware of that. I grew up in a very pro American household, seeing the US had something to do with liberating Europe, my Dad was very astute political, and well read. He was a huge fan of President Kennedy, something I inherited, I was 18 when he was assassinated.
Yes, second hand smoke kills, my Dad was for most of his life a fairly heavy smoker, and he died of a lung ailment at 81. My point is that second hand smoke and getting killed by a drunk driver, is not the same as the virus, right now if you go out you and come in close contact with others you might catch the virus and then you might pass it on.
1791 I have great sympathy for those who have lost loved ones to drunk driver’s and gun violence etc. I should have made it clear, if you smoke all your life and get lung cancer, that is largely self inflicting, just as is cirrhosis of the liver of heavy drinkers.
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