Below-Normal Precipitation Forecast For Bay Area

February 18, 2020 16:00 pm · 15 comments

The Bay Area may get below-normal precipitation over the next week to two weeks, National Weather Service officials said this week.

Separate forecasts say there is a greater than 50 percent chance that precipitation in the Bay Area will be below normal. One forecast extends out six to 10 days while the other extends out eight to 14 days from Monday.

It’s been 20 days since it rained in the Bay Area.

National Weather Service meteorologist Rick Canepa said it’s pretty typical to have a mid-winter break in the rainy season. Historically, the longest stretch has been 43 days. That’s happened twice, Canepa said, in 2014-2015 and back in February/March 1864.

Exit 12A February 18, 2020 at 4:08 PM

Climate is cyclical. Same goes for droughts.

Recorded climate data only goes back about 150 years… the rest is inferred.

Back in the 70s, the “leading scientists” were warning of the next Ice Age.

John P February 18, 2020 at 4:47 PM

Well said. Now stick your head back in the sand and ignore the 97 percent of the climatologists who say humans are causing or exacerbating global warming, and go with what that expert weather forecaster and epidemiologist Donald “The John” Trump wants you to believe. Try this. If you drink beer or wine, study how that process goes and then make a parallel to human activity. If you still believe our way of life is not the problem, or a big part of it, there’s no hope for you.

Natalie February 18, 2020 at 5:09 PM

Climate is cyclical, but we are pushing the pushing the normal boundaries of those cycles. Technically we aren’t in a drought, because a drought is only declared after 2 years of low rain in a row.

Climate data is recorded by tree rings and soil samples. There’s a whole field of science called paleoclimatology.

People were writing about a hypothetical next ice age up into the early 1990s, in the context that climate change would help avoid such an event. It is totally possible we did avert a cooling event by altering the climate.However, that alteration to climate norms needs to be slowed down or we will run into a different disaster situation.

Carpe February 19, 2020 at 1:27 AM

Oh brother, he trots out the 97% myth…surprised you didn’t have the time to also roll out Mann’s 100% BS hockey stick. Hey, quick question, did you know that Feather Leaf Lake and Lake Tahoe have actual “forests” of trees underwater? Yeah, over a thousand years ago, which I’ll have to check but think that might have predated SUVs and indoor air conditioning, there somehow was this thing called a “drought” to where the waters receded significantly for 200+ years allowing trees to grow, which were then covered with water once the lakes filled back up. Almost like there’s something cyclical to climate.

JazzMan February 19, 2020 at 5:55 AM

@Natalie. Well said. 👍🏼

Rob February 19, 2020 at 8:55 AM

I am so tired of hearing farmers now fretting over climate change and what it will do to their business after voting for climate change deniers for a long time.

Now those same “pull yourself up by your bootstraps farmers” wants Socialism to reign by getting bailed out time after time by taxpayers.

If you made a bet that climate change isn’t real – and now it’s bitting you in the behind – tough luck – you will lose your farm and the large conglomerates will be left to grow crops.

You made your bed, now lie in it.

Carpe February 19, 2020 at 10:07 AM

Um, “climate change” in the anthropomorphic context of how bed-wetting hysterics use the term has ZERO to do with the fires, flooding, and droughts that we experience.

Gosh, did the Mayans or other ancient civilizations like in Catalhoyuk “cause” the climate change that decimated their existence? Or what about the end of the 8.2-kiloyear event that was about 400 years of drastic cooling around 6000 BC, I guess it ended because of all the factories and plastic straws back then, right? Or, hear me out, just spitballing here, MAYBE climate is CYCLICAL? Yeah, you’re right, just no way that could be, so let’s all listen to a virtue-signaling and quite mentally disturbed Swedish teenager.

Rod Barton February 19, 2020 at 12:50 PM

John P sounds like such an expert on this matter about human induced climate change. Just like those scientists have been proven wrong on many of their “theories” on climate change and the impact that all us evil humans are having on it.
20 days without rain is not a drought, nor is it anything to be overly concerned about, despite the liberal hysteria built up by Bolshevik Bernie and all his other socialist friends.
When it starts raining again in two weeks, people will forget about this little “drought” we are talking about right now. Many of the well informed farmers are not going into a frenzy over this.

kate February 18, 2020 at 4:24 PM

if you pay attention to the weather every year you will notice in Feb we always get spring like weather for a couple of weeks then the rains come again. That is why I love Feb

To Do List February 18, 2020 at 5:21 PM

Clearly the water authorities will need to drastically increase the price of water (curiously the cash will go into their pensions and salaries). Newsom needs to finish the Central Valley tunnels project to send more water to southern California so the lawns planted in semi-desert inland valleys do not suffer. We need a well funded campaign to create a feeling of guilt by those using water in the Bay Area with perhaps some furious commentary by Greta. Blame needs to be placed on whoever is the current president. And California should ignore reality and continue its massive export of agricultural products like wine to China, effectively exporting California water to them.

Rich February 18, 2020 at 8:14 PM
Cellophane February 18, 2020 at 8:37 PM

De Ja Vu all over again.

We’ve all seen this pattern before.

We may have a wet spring, we may not.

We cannot control the weather.

One thing that will happen without a doubt is that water rates will go up, restrictions will become more harsh and more water will evaporate than we can use.

CA won’t build any more dams, water purification plants will never be built and a lot of people will eventually suffer because of poor representation in the legislature.

And of course, it’ll all be the President’s fault, whoever the President may at the time.

Rob February 19, 2020 at 8:51 AM

For those states that deny climate change is getting worse – I would like for them to submit binding letter to the Fed’s that they will not accept any taxpayer federal dollars to help deal with the problem if they later accept climate change as being real.

Captain Bebops February 19, 2020 at 11:48 AM

Climate’s change but not always as expected or predicted. Scientists are looking at the current solar minimum to see if it brings the same results as previous ones.

Anonamel February 19, 2020 at 7:34 PM

Oh good grief the people of the United States, to a lesser extent Californians who are our country’s biggest polluters, have made a lot of effort to curb greenhouse gas emissions! What else do you want from the other 49 states? Kill or tax all their jobs into extinction and let them all starve to death?

Let’s just entertain the notion that the climate shift we see now is anthropomorphic. These changes will have been brought about by greenhouse gases introduced into the atmosphere a century ago. I would think our smartest move would be focusing on how to cope with the long term changing climate patterns and try living a little greener to not make the problem worse…but you go right on ahead and tell China, India and hey all those poor folks in third world countries who depend on fuel sources like coal to stop polluting so much.

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